Xoma Corp Stock Price Prediction
| XOMA Stock | USD 25.67 0.63 2.40% |
Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.37 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.20) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.11) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3225 | Wall Street Target Price 64.6667 |
Using XOMA Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XOMA Corp from the perspective of XOMA Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards XOMA Corp using XOMA Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards XOMA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of XOMA Corp's stock price.
XOMA Corp Implied Volatility | 1.13 |
XOMA Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of XOMA Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if XOMA Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that XOMA Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when XOMA Corp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in XOMA Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying XOMA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
XOMA Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 25.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current XOMA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that XOMA Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0706% per day over the life of the 2025-09-19 option contract. With XOMA Corp trading at USD 25.67, that is roughly USD 0.0181 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating XOMA Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring XOMA Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.13%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out XOMA Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. XOMA Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of XOMA Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in XOMA Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of XOMA Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
XOMA Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting XOMA Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on XOMA Corp's historical news coverage. XOMA Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.05 and 28.51, respectively. We have considered XOMA Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
XOMA Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of XOMA Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
XOMA Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as XOMA Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading XOMA Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with XOMA Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 3.23 | 0.39 | 0.05 | 20 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 20 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.67 | 25.28 | 1.52 |
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XOMA Corp Hype Timeline
XOMA Corp is at this time traded for 25.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.39, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. XOMA is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 25.28. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.52%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on XOMA Corp is about 2074.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.62. About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of XOMA Corp was at this time reported as 7.08. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.73. XOMA Corp last dividend was issued on the 3rd of January 2025. The entity had 1:20 split on the 18th of October 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 20 days. Check out XOMA Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.XOMA Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to XOMA Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict XOMA Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how XOMA Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how XOMA Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IKNA | Ikena Oncology | 0.05 | 3 per month | 2.97 | 0.01 | 5.47 | (3.94) | 18.39 | |
| XLO | Xilio Development | 0.01 | 8 per month | 7.27 | 0.03 | 7.50 | (6.67) | 92.11 | |
| TARA | Protara Therapeutics | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 7.05 | (5.57) | 25.12 | |
| SRRK | Scholar Rock Holding | (1.34) | 14 per month | 3.01 | 0.11 | 7.18 | (4.99) | 22.87 | |
| AGEN | Agenus Inc | (0.23) | 11 per month | 5.33 | 0.23 | 20.41 | (8.48) | 40.99 | |
| LGND | Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated | (0.80) | 27 per month | 1.27 | 0.14 | 4.29 | (2.62) | 8.95 | |
| GERN | Geron | 1.17 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.15 | (6.25) | 16.90 |
XOMA Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine XOMA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XOMA using various technical indicators. When you analyze XOMA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About XOMA Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of XOMA Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as XOMA Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of XOMA Corp based on analysis of XOMA Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to XOMA Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to XOMA Corp's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0261 | 0.0258 | 0.0178 | 0.0169 | Price To Sales Ratio | 34.84 | 44.6 | 10.79 | 10.25 |
Story Coverage note for XOMA Corp
The number of cover stories for XOMA Corp depends on current market conditions and XOMA Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that XOMA Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about XOMA Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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XOMA Corp Short Properties
XOMA Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when XOMA Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of XOMA Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential XOMA Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XOMA Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 105.2 M |
Complementary Tools for XOMA Stock analysis
When running XOMA Corp's price analysis, check to measure XOMA Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy XOMA Corp is operating at the current time. Most of XOMA Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of XOMA Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move XOMA Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of XOMA Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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