Tejon Ranch Co Stock Price Prediction

TRC Stock  USD 18.22  0.08  0.44%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Tejon Ranch's share price is above 70 at the present time. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Tejon, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 72

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Tejon Ranch's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tejon Ranch Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Tejon Ranch's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.856
Wall Street Target Price
26.25
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.108
Using Tejon Ranch hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tejon Ranch Co from the perspective of Tejon Ranch response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tejon Ranch using Tejon Ranch's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tejon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tejon Ranch's stock price.

Tejon Ranch Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Tejon Ranch's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Tejon. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Tejon Ranch stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
16.2996
Short Percent
0.0416
Short Ratio
6.37
Shares Short Prior Month
582.2 K
50 Day MA
16.8132

Tejon Ranch Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Tejon Ranch's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tejon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tejon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tejon Ranch Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Tejon Ranch's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Tejon Ranch.

Tejon Ranch Implied Volatility

    
  0.69  
Tejon Ranch's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tejon Ranch Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tejon Ranch's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tejon Ranch stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tejon Ranch's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tejon Ranch to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tejon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Tejon Ranch after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Tejon Ranch Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.4020.4722.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.5818.1319.68
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
23.8926.2529.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.1417.9818.82
Details

Tejon Ranch After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Tejon Ranch at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tejon Ranch or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tejon Ranch, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Tejon Ranch Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Tejon Ranch's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tejon Ranch's historical news coverage. Tejon Ranch's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.69 and 19.79, respectively. We have considered Tejon Ranch's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.22
18.24
After-hype Price
19.79
Upside
Tejon Ranch is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tejon Ranch is based on 3 months time horizon.

Tejon Ranch Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tejon Ranch is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tejon Ranch backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tejon Ranch, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
1.55
  0.02 
  0.01 
12 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.22
18.24
0.11 
1,409  
Notes

Tejon Ranch Hype Timeline

On the 19th of July Tejon Ranch is traded for 18.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Tejon is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 18.24 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Tejon Ranch is about 1802.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.23. The company reported the last year's revenue of 41.89 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.69 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.46 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Tejon Ranch Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Tejon Ranch Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Tejon Ranch's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tejon Ranch's future price movements. Getting to know how Tejon Ranch's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tejon Ranch may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALCOAlico Inc(0.28)10 per month 1.11  0.03  2.60 (2.11) 7.70 
ALEXAlexander Baldwin Holdings(0.04)10 per month 0.94 (0.02) 1.51 (2.00) 5.82 
CODI-PACompass Diversified 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 6.39 (6.48) 32.44 
CTOCTO Realty Growth 0.05 10 per month 1.39 (0.09) 2.21 (2.04) 8.65 
JOESt Joe Company 0.21 6 per month 1.42  0.06  2.88 (2.89) 8.50 
MATWMatthews International 0.04 8 per month 2.30  0.06  4.15 (4.39) 13.60 
MLPMaui Land Pineapple(0.35)7 per month 3.14  0.01  5.94 (4.60) 16.69 
SEBSeaboard 2.93 8 per month 1.02  0.08  3.05 (1.90) 8.06 
SPLPSteel Partners Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 5.70 (4.47) 22.69 
VMIValmont Industries(1.70)10 per month 0.80  0.09  3.10 (1.46) 6.21 

Tejon Ranch Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tejon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tejon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tejon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Tejon Ranch Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Tejon Ranch stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tejon Ranch Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tejon Ranch based on analysis of Tejon Ranch hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tejon Ranch's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tejon Ranch's related companies.
 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0021960.002086
Price To Sales Ratio10.1816.5

Story Coverage note for Tejon Ranch

The number of cover stories for Tejon Ranch depends on current market conditions and Tejon Ranch's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tejon Ranch is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tejon Ranch's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Tejon Ranch Short Properties

Tejon Ranch's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tejon Ranch's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tejon Ranch Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tejon Ranch's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tejon Ranch's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments53.7 M

Complementary Tools for Tejon Stock analysis

When running Tejon Ranch's price analysis, check to measure Tejon Ranch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tejon Ranch is operating at the current time. Most of Tejon Ranch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tejon Ranch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tejon Ranch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tejon Ranch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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