Spi Energy Co Stock Price Prediction
SPI Stock | USD 0.32 0 0.88% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 1.25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.307 |
Using SPI Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SPI Energy Co from the perspective of SPI Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SPI Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SPI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SPI Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 0.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SPI |
SPI Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SPI Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SPI Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SPI Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
SPI Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SPI Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SPI Energy's historical news coverage. SPI Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 12.58, respectively. We have considered SPI Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SPI Energy is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SPI Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
SPI Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SPI Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SPI Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SPI Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 12.27 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.32 | 0.31 | 3.12 |
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SPI Energy Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of November SPI Energy is traded for 0.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. SPI is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -3.12%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.5%. The volatility of related hype on SPI Energy is about 22536.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.29. About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.8. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SPI Energy recorded a loss per share of 0.96. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of November 2018. The firm had 1:10 split on the 16th of November 2018. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out SPI Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SPI Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SPI Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SPI Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how SPI Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SPI Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
ISUN | ISun Inc | (1.12) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 21.43 | (31.26) | 178.04 | |
SUNW | Sunworks | 0.37 | 2 per month | 5.75 | 0.09 | 14.29 | (9.68) | 38.53 | |
ASTI | Ascent Solar Technologies, | (0.16) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 8.54 | (11.34) | 29.81 | |
SOL | Emeren Group | (0.05) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 9.57 | (6.28) | 29.32 | |
SPWR | SunPower | (0.16) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 10.29 | (40.08) | 75.00 | |
RUN | Sunrun Inc | (1.29) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.23 | (9.35) | 40.96 | |
NOVA | Sunnova Energy International | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 14.57 | (9.06) | 67.41 | |
JKS | JinkoSolar Holding | 1.37 | 11 per month | 6.19 | 0.04 | 9.45 | (7.53) | 36.24 | |
CSIQ | Canadian Solar | 0.50 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 9.83 | (9.61) | 35.56 |
SPI Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SPI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SPI using various technical indicators. When you analyze SPI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About SPI Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SPI Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SPI Energy Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SPI Energy based on analysis of SPI Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SPI Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SPI Energy's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 5.91 | 5.36 | 4.83 | 4.26 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 56.04 | 64.9 | 74.63 | 68.01 |
Story Coverage note for SPI Energy
The number of cover stories for SPI Energy depends on current market conditions and SPI Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SPI Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SPI Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SPI Energy Short Properties
SPI Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when SPI Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SPI Energy Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SPI Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SPI Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.5 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 M |
Complementary Tools for SPI Stock analysis
When running SPI Energy's price analysis, check to measure SPI Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SPI Energy is operating at the current time. Most of SPI Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SPI Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SPI Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SPI Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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