Serendib Hotels (Sri Lanka) Price Prediction
| SHOTN0000 | LKR 17.50 0.30 1.74% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Serendib Hotels hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Serendib Hotels PLC from the perspective of Serendib Hotels response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Serendib Hotels to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Serendib because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Serendib Hotels after-hype prediction price | LKR 17.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Serendib |
Serendib Hotels Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Serendib Hotels at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Serendib Hotels or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Serendib Hotels, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Serendib Hotels Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Serendib Hotels is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Serendib Hotels backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Serendib Hotels, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 2.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.50 | 17.50 | 0.00 |
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Serendib Hotels Hype Timeline
Serendib Hotels PLC is at this time traded for 17.50on Colombo Stock Exchange of Sri Lanka. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Serendib is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.43%. %. The volatility of related hype on Serendib Hotels is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.50. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Serendib Hotels Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Serendib Hotels Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Serendib Hotels' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Serendib Hotels' future price movements. Getting to know how Serendib Hotels' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Serendib Hotels may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CARSN0000 | Carson Cumberbatch PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.07 | 0.04 | 3.49 | (2.90) | 10.05 | |
| MRHN0000 | Mahaweli Reach Hotel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.07 | 0.10 | 6.87 | (4.51) | 15.91 | |
| LCEYN0000 | Lankem Ceylon PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.01 | (4.41) | 12.44 | |
| DISTN0000 | Distilleries Company of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | 0.15 | 3.20 | (1.96) | 6.28 | |
| SHOTN0000 | Serendib Hotels PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.03 | 0.14 | 6.06 | (3.16) | 11.02 |
Serendib Hotels Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Serendib price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Serendib using various technical indicators. When you analyze Serendib charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Serendib Hotels Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Serendib Hotels stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Serendib Hotels PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Serendib Hotels based on analysis of Serendib Hotels hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Serendib Hotels's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Serendib Hotels's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Serendib Hotels
The number of cover stories for Serendib Hotels depends on current market conditions and Serendib Hotels' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Serendib Hotels is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Serendib Hotels' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for Serendib Stock analysis
When running Serendib Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Serendib Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Serendib Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Serendib Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Serendib Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Serendib Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Serendib Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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