Oat Inc Stock Price Prediction
| OATN Stock | USD 0.01 0.0005 6.94% |
Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using OAT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OAT Inc from the perspective of OAT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in OAT to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying OAT because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
OAT after-hype prediction price | USD 0.008245 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
OAT |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OAT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
OAT After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OAT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OAT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of OAT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OAT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OAT's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OAT's historical news coverage. OAT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.83, respectively. We have considered OAT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OAT is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OAT Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
OAT Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OAT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OAT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OAT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 8.82 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.01 | 0.01 | 23.06 |
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OAT Hype Timeline
OAT Inc is now traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.29. OAT is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.008245 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 23.06%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on OAT is about 1318.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.30. Debt can assist OAT until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, OAT's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like OAT Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for OAT to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about OAT's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out OAT Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.OAT Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OAT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OAT's future price movements. Getting to know how OAT's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OAT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DKILY | Daikin Industries Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.48 | (0) | 3.71 | (2.74) | 9.46 | |
| TT | Trane Technologies plc | 7.50 | 8 per month | 0.81 | 0.16 | 2.99 | (1.42) | 10.22 | |
| AAON | AAON Inc | (0.37) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.39 | (3.85) | 22.08 | |
| JCI | Johnson Controls International | 0.17 | 9 per month | 0.44 | 0.29 | 2.90 | (1.19) | 5.56 | |
| PAA | Plains All American | 0.30 | 13 per month | 1.25 | 0.03 | 2.96 | (2.31) | 6.51 | |
| FUTU | Futu Holdings | (1.32) | 12 per month | 2.36 | 0.24 | 7.00 | (5.06) | 17.20 | |
| D | Dominion Energy | (0.08) | 10 per month | 0.97 | (0.01) | 2.00 | (1.75) | 5.75 | |
| ELWS | Earlyworks Co, Ltd | 0.10 | 5 per month | 5.44 | 0.04 | 7.54 | (8.86) | 81.13 | |
| NREF-PA | NexPoint Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | (0.01) | 2.67 | (1.94) | 6.70 | |
| BLX | Foreign Trade Bank | 0.39 | 9 per month | 1.02 | 0.08 | 2.30 | (1.98) | 5.58 |
OAT Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OAT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OAT using various technical indicators. When you analyze OAT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About OAT Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of OAT stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as OAT Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of OAT based on analysis of OAT hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to OAT's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to OAT's related companies.
Story Coverage note for OAT
The number of cover stories for OAT depends on current market conditions and OAT's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OAT is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OAT's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in OAT Pink Sheet
OAT financial ratios help investors to determine whether OAT Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OAT with respect to the benefits of owning OAT security.