Douyu International Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| DOYU Stock | USD 10.23 0.51 5.25% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 11.476 | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.25) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.59) | Wall Street Target Price 7.65 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.26) |
Using DouYu International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DouYu International Holdings from the perspective of DouYu International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in DouYu International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying DouYu because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
DouYu International after-hype prediction price | USD 10.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
DouYu |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DouYu International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DouYu International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DouYu International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DouYu International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DouYu International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
DouYu International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DouYu International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DouYu International's historical news coverage. DouYu International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.59 and 17.95, respectively. We have considered DouYu International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DouYu International is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DouYu International is based on 3 months time horizon.
DouYu International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DouYu International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DouYu International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DouYu International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 7.70 | 0.04 | 0.18 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.23 | 10.27 | 0.39 |
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DouYu International Hype Timeline
DouYu International is currently traded for 10.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. DouYu is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.27 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.39%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.53%. The volatility of related hype on DouYu International is about 2240.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.05. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.53 B. Net Income was 35.52 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 990.11 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out DouYu International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.DouYu International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DouYu International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DouYu International's future price movements. Getting to know how DouYu International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DouYu International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TWLO | Twilio Inc | (3.35) | 9 per month | 1.03 | 0.30 | 3.69 | (2.49) | 17.01 | |
| BIDU | Baidu Inc | (0.88) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.40 | (5.12) | 16.49 | |
| SNAP | Snap Inc | (0.17) | 10 per month | 2.40 | 0.04 | 4.41 | (3.65) | 21.74 | |
| ANGI | ANGI Homeservices | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.38 | (4.03) | 33.00 | |
| PERI | Perion Network | 0.41 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.06 | (3.04) | 11.22 | |
| YELP | Yelp Inc | 0.18 | 7 per month | 1.36 | (0.02) | 2.91 | (2.34) | 8.65 | |
| MAX | MediaAlpha | 0.44 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.70 | (5.09) | 35.30 | |
| FVRR | Fiverr International | 0.70 | 9 per month | 2.60 | 0.07 | 4.93 | (3.62) | 23.04 |
DouYu International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DouYu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DouYu using various technical indicators. When you analyze DouYu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About DouYu International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of DouYu International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as DouYu International Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of DouYu International based on analysis of DouYu International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to DouYu International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to DouYu International's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 5.83E-4 | 5.18E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.38 | 0.36 |
Story Coverage note for DouYu International
The number of cover stories for DouYu International depends on current market conditions and DouYu International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DouYu International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DouYu International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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DouYu International Short Properties
DouYu International's future price predictability will typically decrease when DouYu International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DouYu International Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DouYu International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DouYu International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.2 B |
Additional Tools for DouYu Stock Analysis
When running DouYu International's price analysis, check to measure DouYu International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DouYu International is operating at the current time. Most of DouYu International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DouYu International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DouYu International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DouYu International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.