Digimarc Stock Price Prediction
| DMRC Stock | USD 32.67 1.30 4.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.22) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.08) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.77) | Wall Street Target Price 34 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.23) |
Using Digimarc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Digimarc from the perspective of Digimarc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Digimarc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Digimarc because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Digimarc after-hype prediction price | USD 32.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Digimarc |
Digimarc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Digimarc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Digimarc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Digimarc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Digimarc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Digimarc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Digimarc's historical news coverage. Digimarc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.80 and 35.84, respectively. We have considered Digimarc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Digimarc is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Digimarc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Digimarc Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Digimarc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Digimarc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Digimarc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 3.52 | 0.35 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.67 | 32.32 | 1.07 |
|
Digimarc Hype Timeline
Digimarc is currently traded for 32.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.35, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Digimarc is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 32.32. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Digimarc is about 12711.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.66. About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.93. Digimarc last dividend was issued on the 1st of May 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Digimarc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Digimarc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Digimarc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Digimarc's future price movements. Getting to know how Digimarc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Digimarc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTG | Computer Task Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.26 | 0.08 | 2.72 | (2.11) | 8.01 | |
| HCKT | The Hackett Group | 1.02 | 7 per month | 0.95 | 0.07 | 2.61 | (1.80) | 19.63 | |
| CSPI | CSP Inc | 0.16 | 3 per month | 2.77 | (0.03) | 4.14 | (4.28) | 9.61 | |
| NYAX | Nayax | (0.48) | 9 per month | 2.69 | 0.08 | 6.75 | (4.00) | 19.01 | |
| WNS | WNS Holdings | 1.22 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.95 | (3.12) | 13.48 | |
| ASGN | ASGN Inc | (1.35) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.21 | (3.35) | 13.02 | |
| TASK | Taskus Inc | 0.52 | 9 per month | 4.11 | 0.02 | 4.93 | (4.81) | 40.44 | |
| PRFT | Perficient | (0.07) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.60) | 0.23 | (0.21) | 0.58 | |
| FORTY | Formula Systems 1985 | (1.42) | 5 per month | 2.67 | 0.01 | 3.65 | (4.95) | 14.81 | |
| SRT | StarTek | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.87 | (6.21) | 17.09 | |
| G | Genpact Limited | 0.20 | 11 per month | 0.80 | 0.09 | 2.64 | (1.63) | 11.64 | |
| NABL | N Able Inc | (0.55) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.77 | (2.83) | 9.22 | |
| EXLS | ExlService Holdings | 0.39 | 11 per month | 0.39 | 0.19 | 2.56 | (1.41) | 8.35 |
Digimarc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Digimarc price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Digimarc using various technical indicators. When you analyze Digimarc charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Digimarc Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Digimarc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Digimarc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Digimarc based on analysis of Digimarc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Digimarc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Digimarc's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 4.68E-4 | 4.44E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 21.06 | 22.12 |
Story Coverage note for Digimarc
The number of cover stories for Digimarc depends on current market conditions and Digimarc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Digimarc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Digimarc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Digimarc Short Properties
Digimarc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Digimarc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Digimarc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Digimarc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Digimarc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Digimarc Stock analysis
When running Digimarc's price analysis, check to measure Digimarc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Digimarc is operating at the current time. Most of Digimarc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Digimarc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Digimarc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Digimarc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world |