Green Plains Renewable Stock Performance

GPRE Stock  USD 7.96  0.07  0.89%   
Green Plains holds a performance score of 26 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.43, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Green Plains will likely underperform. Use Green Plains Renewable downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to analyze future returns on Green Plains Renewable.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Green Plains Renewable are ranked lower than 26 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Green Plains exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.95
Five Day Return
0.13
Year To Date Return
(19.68)
Ten Year Return
(68.50)
All Time Return
(76.24)
Dividend Date
2019-06-14
Ex Dividend Date
2019-05-23
1
Green Plains Inc. Shares Purchased by Marshall Wace LLP
04/29/2025
2
Green Plains Inc. Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
05/09/2025
3
Green Plains Target Price Cut by Truist Amid Financial Struggles GPRE Stock News
05/13/2025
4
Disposition of 316 shares by Havasi Imre of Green Plains at 5.05 subject to Rule 16b-3
05/15/2025
5
Green Plains Inc. Shares Sold by Rafferty Asset Management LLC
05/22/2025
6
Disposition of 1525 shares by Van Der Meulen Leslie of Green Plains at 20.21 subject to Rule 16b-3
05/23/2025
7
Disposition of 6059 shares by Mapes Michelle of Green Plains at 23.04 subject to Rule 16b-3
05/30/2025
8
Disposition of 636 shares by Phil Boggs of Green Plains at 5.16 subject to Rule 16b-3
06/03/2025
9
Disposition of 1118 shares by Sweeney Patrick Francis of Green Plains at 4.17 subject to Rule 16b-3
06/06/2025
10
12 Energy Stocks Moving In Thursdays After-Market Session
06/12/2025
11
Reviewing Trinseo and Green Plains
07/01/2025
12
Green Plains files 300M mixed securities shelf GPRE
07/17/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow378.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-62.1 M

Green Plains Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  330.00  in Green Plains Renewable on April 20, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  466.00  from holding Green Plains Renewable or generate 141.21% return on investment over 90 days. Green Plains Renewable is currently generating 1.5247% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.4849% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 40% of stocks are less volatile than Green, and 70% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Green Plains is expected to generate 5.33 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.34 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.29 per unit of risk.

Green Plains Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Green Plains' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Green Plains Renewable, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Green Plains' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.34

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Estimated Market Risk

 4.48
  actual daily
40
60% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 1.52
  actual daily
30
70% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.34
  actual daily
26
74% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Green Plains is performing at about 26% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Green Plains by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Green Plains Fundamentals Growth

Green Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Green Plains, and Green Plains fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Green Stock performance.

About Green Plains Performance

By analyzing Green Plains' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Green Plains' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Green Plains has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Green Plains has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 35.65  50.44 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.05)(0.04)
Return On Capital Employed(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Assets(0.05)(0.04)
Return On Equity(0.10)(0.09)

Things to note about Green Plains Renewable performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Green Plains for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Green Plains Renewable help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Green Plains appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.46 B. Net Loss for the year was (81.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 127.84 M.
Green Plains Renewable currently holds about 533.12 M in cash with (29.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.18, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Green Plains has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thefly.com: Green Plains files 300M mixed securities shelf GPRE
Evaluating Green Plains' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Green Plains' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Green Plains' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Green Plains' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Green Plains' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Green Plains' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Green Plains' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Green Plains' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Green Plains' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Green Plains' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Green Plains' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Green Stock analysis

When running Green Plains' price analysis, check to measure Green Plains' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Green Plains is operating at the current time. Most of Green Plains' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Green Plains' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Green Plains' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Green Plains to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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