Is ConocoPhillips Stock a Good Investment?

ConocoPhillips Investment Advice

  COP
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on ConocoPhillips stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating ConocoPhillips. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include ConocoPhillips in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine ConocoPhillips' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research ConocoPhillips' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help ConocoPhillips navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space and any emerging trends that could impact ConocoPhillips' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare ConocoPhillips' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how ConocoPhillips is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if ConocoPhillips pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about ConocoPhillips' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in ConocoPhillips stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if ConocoPhillips is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Buy
Macroaxis provides advice on ConocoPhillips to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on ConocoPhillips. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure ConocoPhillips is not overpriced, please confirm all ConocoPhillips fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that ConocoPhillips has a price to earning of 9.12 X, we suggest you to validate ConocoPhillips market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails

Examine ConocoPhillips Stock

Researching ConocoPhillips' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of ConocoPhillips was currently reported as 42.84. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.98. ConocoPhillips last dividend was issued on the 12th of August 2024. The entity had 1311791:10 split on the 1st of May 2012.
To determine if ConocoPhillips is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding ConocoPhillips' research are outlined below:
ConocoPhillips generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 3rd of September 2024 ConocoPhillips paid $ 0.58 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from newsweek.com: Suit dismissed against baker who wouldnt make cake for transgender woman
ConocoPhillips uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in ConocoPhillips. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to ConocoPhillips' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
8th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
8th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact ConocoPhillips' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises ConocoPhillips' investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2002-04-25
2002-03-31-0.02-0.010.0150 
2017-05-02
2017-03-310.01-0.02-0.03300 
2015-07-30
2015-06-300.040.070.0375 
1998-10-22
1998-09-300.160.13-0.0318 
2002-01-24
2001-12-310.340.3-0.0411 
2000-01-24
1999-12-310.380.420.0410 
1999-10-28
1999-09-300.360.40.0411 
1998-04-23
1998-03-310.290.330.0413 

ConocoPhillips Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. ConocoPhillips target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. ConocoPhillips' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   27  Strong Buy
Most ConocoPhillips analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand ConocoPhillips stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of ConocoPhillips, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

ConocoPhillips Target Price Projection

ConocoPhillips' current and average target prices are 110.80 and 129.91, respectively. The current price of ConocoPhillips is the price at which ConocoPhillips is currently trading. On the other hand, ConocoPhillips' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

ConocoPhillips Market Quote on 9th of October 2024

Low Price110.16Odds
High Price112.92Odds

110.8

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On ConocoPhillips Target Price

Low Estimate118.22Odds
High Estimate144.2Odds

129.91

Historical Lowest Forecast  118.22 Target Price  129.91 Highest Forecast  144.2
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on ConocoPhillips and the information provided on this page.

ConocoPhillips Analyst Ratings

ConocoPhillips' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about ConocoPhillips stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of ConocoPhillips' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. ConocoPhillips' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know ConocoPhillips' Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as ConocoPhillips is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ConocoPhillips backward and forwards among themselves. ConocoPhillips' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase ConocoPhillips' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Eagle Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
14.5 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
14.3 M
Harris Associates L.p.2024-06-30
13.6 M
Franklin Resources Inc2024-06-30
12.1 M
Dodge & Cox2024-06-30
11.5 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-06-30
11.3 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
11.2 M
Fmr Inc2024-06-30
11.1 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-06-30
11 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
108.9 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
97 M
Note, although ConocoPhillips' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

ConocoPhillips' market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mega-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 128.67 B.

Market Cap

90.32 Billion

ConocoPhillips' profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.12 
Return On Capital Employed 0.17  0.17 
Return On Assets 0.11  0.12 
Return On Equity 0.22  0.14 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.18 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.27 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.27 of operating income.
Determining ConocoPhillips' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if ConocoPhillips is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures ConocoPhillips' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of ConocoPhillips' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

ConocoPhillips' Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Evaluate ConocoPhillips' management efficiency

ConocoPhillips has Return on Asset of 0.1086 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.1086 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.2197 %, implying that it generated $0.2197 on every 100 dollars invested. ConocoPhillips' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well ConocoPhillips manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, ConocoPhillips' Return On Tangible Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 10/09/2024, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.12, while Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.17. At this time, ConocoPhillips' Total Current Liabilities is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 10/09/2024, Change To Liabilities is likely to grow to about 851.4 M, while Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to drop slightly above 74.6 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 40.97  43.02 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 40.97  43.02 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 6.55  4.19 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.83  2.97 
Enterprise Value Multiple 6.55  4.19 
Price Fair Value 2.83  2.97 
Enterprise Value99.4 B104.4 B
The analysis of ConocoPhillips' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze ConocoPhillips' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of ConocoPhillips Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0272
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0272
Forward Dividend Rate
3.12
Beta
1.223

Basic technical analysis of ConocoPhillips Stock

As of the 9th of October, ConocoPhillips shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0066, downside deviation of 1.68, and Mean Deviation of 1.25. ConocoPhillips technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

ConocoPhillips' insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific ConocoPhillips insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on ConocoPhillips' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases ConocoPhillips insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

ConocoPhillips' Outstanding Corporate Bonds

ConocoPhillips issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. ConocoPhillips uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most ConocoPhillips bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when ConocoPhillips has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand ConocoPhillips' technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing ConocoPhillips' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider ConocoPhillips' intraday indicators

ConocoPhillips intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of ConocoPhillips stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

ConocoPhillips Corporate Filings

F4
2nd of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
12th of September 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
3rd of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
29th of July 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
ConocoPhillips time-series forecasting models is one of many ConocoPhillips' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary ConocoPhillips' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

ConocoPhillips Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about ConocoPhillips that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through ConocoPhillips media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via ConocoPhillips internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of ConocoPhillips data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of ConocoPhillips news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of ConocoPhillips relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to ConocoPhillips' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive ConocoPhillips alpha.

ConocoPhillips Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards ConocoPhillips can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

ConocoPhillips Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to ConocoPhillips' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ConocoPhillips. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ConocoPhillips can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ConocoPhillips. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
ConocoPhillips' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for ConocoPhillips and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average ConocoPhillips news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on ConocoPhillips.

ConocoPhillips Corporate Directors

Jody FreemanIndependent DirectorProfile
Robert NiblockLead Independent DirectorProfile
John FaraciIndependent DirectorProfile
Arjun MurtiIndependent DirectorProfile

Additional Tools for ConocoPhillips Stock Analysis

When running ConocoPhillips' price analysis, check to measure ConocoPhillips' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ConocoPhillips is operating at the current time. Most of ConocoPhillips' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ConocoPhillips' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ConocoPhillips' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ConocoPhillips to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.