Is American Express Stock a Good Investment?

American Express Investment Advice

  AXP
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on American Express stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating American Express. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include American Express in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine American Express' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research American Express' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help American Express navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Consumer Finance space and any emerging trends that could impact American Express' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare American Express' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how American Express is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if American Express pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about American Express' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in American Express stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if American Express is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Buy
Macroaxis provides advice on American Express to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on American Express. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure American Express is not overpriced, please confirm all American Express fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, cash and equivalents, target price, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and book value per share . Given that American Express has a price to earning of 15.49 X, we suggest you to validate American Express market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine American Express Stock

Researching American Express' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.93. American Express recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.59. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of October 2024. The firm had 10000:8753 split on the 3rd of October 2005.
To determine if American Express is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding American Express' research are outlined below:
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 8th of November 2024 American Express paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from pymnts.com: Dojo and American Express Partner to Streamline Payments in UK
American Express uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in American Express. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to American Express' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
18th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
19th of July 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
24th of January 2025
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of December 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact American Express' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises American Express' investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2007-04-19
2007-03-310.80.880.0810 
2001-10-22
2001-09-300.30.22-0.0826 
2017-01-19
2016-12-310.980.88-0.110 
2010-04-22
2010-03-310.630.730.115 
2008-10-20
2008-09-300.590.740.1525 
2015-01-21
2014-12-311.381.22-0.1611 
2009-10-22
2009-09-300.380.540.1642 
2009-07-23
2009-06-300.260.09-0.1765 

American Express Target Price Consensus

American target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. American Express' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   27  Buy
Most American analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand American stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of American Express, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

American Express Target Price Projection

American Express' current and average target prices are 303.99 and 182.44, respectively. The current price of American Express is the price at which American Express is currently trading. On the other hand, American Express' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

American Express Market Quote on 9th of December 2024

Low Price300.62Odds
High Price304.74Odds

303.99

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On American Express Target Price

Low Estimate166.02Odds
High Estimate202.51Odds

182.44

Historical Lowest Forecast  166.02 Target Price  182.44 Highest Forecast  202.51
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on American Express and the information provided on this page.

American Express Analyst Ratings

American Express' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about American Express stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of American Express' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. American Express' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know American Express' Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as American Express is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Express backward and forwards among themselves. American Express' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase American Express' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
8.7 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
6.4 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
5.9 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
5.7 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-09-30
M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-09-30
M
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership2024-09-30
4.9 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
4.6 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-09-30
4.6 M
Berkshire Hathaway Inc2024-09-30
151.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
45.1 M
Note, although American Express' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

American Express' market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mega-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 214.14 B.

Market Cap

9.13 Billion

American Express' profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.30  0.18 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.17 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.21 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.21 of operating income.
Determining American Express' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if American Express is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures American Express' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of American Express' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate American Express' management efficiency

American Express has Return on Asset of 0.0379 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0379 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.3469 %, implying that it generated $0.3469 on every 100 dollars invested. American Express' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well American Express manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 12/09/2024, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.10, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop 0.02. At this time, American Express' Total Current Liabilities is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/09/2024, Non Current Liabilities Total is likely to grow to about 247.1 B, while Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to drop slightly above 169.3 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 38.17  40.08 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 32.80  34.44 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 9.79  14.47 
Price Book Value Ratio 4.91  2.99 
Enterprise Value Multiple 9.79  14.47 
Price Fair Value 4.91  2.99 
Enterprise Value36.4 B38.7 B
The management strategies employed by American Express' are designed to enhance shareholder value and ensure long-term growth. We assess the effectiveness of these strategies in our stock analysis.
Dividend Yield
0.0092
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0092
Forward Dividend Rate
2.8
Beta
1.214

Basic technical analysis of American Stock

As of the 9th of December, American Express shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.141, and Mean Deviation of 1.21. American Express technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

American Express' insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific American Express insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on American Express' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases American Express insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

American Express' Outstanding Corporate Bonds

American Express issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. American Express uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most American bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when American Express has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand American Express' technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing American Express' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider American Express' intraday indicators

American Express intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of American Express stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

American Express Corporate Filings

F4
2nd of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
15th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
25th of October 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
23rd of July 2024
Prospectus used primarily for registering securities for public sale.
ViewVerify
American Express time-series forecasting models is one of many American Express' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary American Express' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

American Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about American Express that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through American media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via American internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of American data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of American Express news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of American Express relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to American Express' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive American Express alpha.

American Express Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards American Express can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

American Express Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to American Express' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American Express. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
American Express' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for American Express and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average American Express news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on American Express.

American Express Corporate Directors

Lisa WardellIndependent DirectorProfile
Christopher YoungIndependent DirectorProfile
Thomas BaltimoreIndependent DirectorProfile
Lynn PikeIndependent DirectorProfile

Already Invested in American Express?

The danger of trading American Express is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of American Express is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than American Express. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile American Express is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.

Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis

When running American Express' price analysis, check to measure American Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Express is operating at the current time. Most of American Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.