Is it time to hedge Sonnet Biotherapeutics (USA Stocks:SONN) high volatility

Sonnet BioTherapeutics' shares experienced a notable drop of over 5% despite a broader market rally, highlighting its inherent volatility. The stock's recent decline comes amid mixed signals from technical indicators, such as a negative period momentum of -0.23 and a daily balance of power at -0.07, suggesting some underlying selling pressure. While the company has a strong analyst consensus with a "Strong Buy" rating and a potential upside of around 35, the current valuation remains modest at roughly $7.76 billion, with a target price estimated at $20. However, the stock's recent price action and a valuation hype value of approximately $3.81 indicate cautious investor sentiment. This combination of factors points to a stock that can swing sharply, making it a riskier choice for those seeking stability but potentially rewarding for traders willing to navigate its volatility. Compared to most stocks, Sonnet Biotherapeutics Holdings carries higher risk, and many traded equities are expected to deliver better returns over the next 60 days. While some investors are growing cautious about the biotech sector, Sonnet remains a potential alternative worth considering. We’ll examine the chances of Sonnet achieving above-average gains in the coming weeks. Recent risk factors could influence the stock’s price, but our analysis suggests that Sonnet is currently undervalued, with a true value nearing $7.76 per share.
Published over a week ago
View all stories for Sonnet Biotherapeutics | View All Stories
Macroaxis uses a strict editorial review process to publish stories and blog posts. Our publishers support our company and may receive a small commission when the partner links or references are utilized. Commissions do not affect the opinions or evaluations of our editorial team. The information our editors and media partners deliver is confidential and licensed for your sole use as a Macroaxis user. We reserve all rights to the content of this article, and therefore copying or distributing this story in whole or in part is strictly prohibited.

Reviewed by Gabriel Shpitalnik

Sonnet Biotherapeutics shares experienced a more than 5% drop, highlighting increased short-term volatility despite the broader market rally. The stock's high kurtosis of 63.76 and skewness of 7.92 suggest a risk of sudden, sharp price swings that traders should watch closely.

Major Takeaways

Sonnet Biotherapeutics Holdings has liabilities totaling approximately $130.86K and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36, which is fairly typical among its peers. Its current ratio stands at 1.08, indicating it might face challenges in meeting short-term obligations if financial conditions tighten. When evaluating its debt, it's important to consider cash reserves and equity to get a complete picture. The company scores a 9 out of 100 on performance metrics, suggesting limited growth prospects. With a beta of 0.3, Sonnet tends to move less than the overall market, meaning it could offer some stability during downturns but may underperform during bullish periods. For a deeper understanding of potential risks and returns, review its value at risk and analyze the relationship between skewness and the day median price.
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Sonnet Biotherapeutics or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Sonnet Biotherapeutics may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Sonnet's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Sonnet Biotherapeutics and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Sonnet Biotherapeutics fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

How important is Sonnet Biotherapeutics's Liquidity

Sonnet Biotherapeutics financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Sonnet Biotherapeutics Holdings ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Sonnet Biotherapeutics financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Sonnet Biotherapeutics' owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Sonnet Biotherapeutics' financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Sonnet Biotherapeutics's total debt and its cash.

Sonnet Biotherapeutics Gross Profit

Sonnet Biotherapeutics Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Sonnet Biotherapeutics previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Sonnet Biotherapeutics Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Sonnet Biotherapeutics' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Sonnet Biotherapeutics Volatility Drivers

Sonnet Biotherapeutics unsystematic risk is unique to Sonnet Biotherapeutics and usually not directly affected by the market or economic environment. An example of unsystematic risk is the possibility of poor earnings or a layoff due to coronavirus. One may mitigate nonsystematic risk by buying different securities in the same industry or by buying in different sectors. For example, if you have a position in Sonnet Biotherapeutics you can also buy Hoth Therapeutics. You can also mitigate this risk by investing in the health care sector as well as in companies having nothing to do with it. This type of risk is also called diversifiable risk and can be understood from analyzing Sonnet Biotherapeutics important indicators over time. Here we run a correlation analysis between relevant fundamental ratios over at least ten year period to find a relationship in the way they react to changes in Sonnet Biotherapeutics income statement and balance sheet. Here are more details about Sonnet volatility.
0.270.88-0.360.510.170.58-0.120.33-0.20.020.02-0.33-0.050.190.030.110.010.090.050.12
0.270.59-0.030.12-0.870.540.50.58-0.25-0.02-0.020.08-0.32-0.1-0.920.4-0.92-0.910.15-0.09
0.880.59-0.280.6-0.20.680.00.52-0.27-0.04-0.04-0.25-0.050.23-0.310.33-0.31-0.250.01-0.06
-0.36-0.03-0.280.11-0.050.210.170.26-0.070.010.01-0.06-0.050.07-0.130.61-0.13-0.11-0.08-0.09
0.510.120.60.110.040.51-0.380.34-0.24-0.33-0.330.00.370.660.060.160.080.07-0.16-0.13
0.17-0.87-0.2-0.050.04-0.26-0.44-0.450.060.140.14-0.270.180.10.93-0.20.920.96-0.110.11
0.580.540.680.210.51-0.260.30.87-0.280.290.29-0.35-0.170.18-0.380.49-0.39-0.3-0.030.42
-0.120.50.00.17-0.38-0.440.30.39-0.140.390.390.11-0.42-0.33-0.480.41-0.5-0.440.170.11
0.330.580.520.260.34-0.450.870.390.140.280.28-0.25-0.040.11-0.490.52-0.49-0.43-0.010.34
-0.2-0.25-0.27-0.07-0.240.06-0.28-0.140.14-0.01-0.010.070.3-0.110.15-0.210.150.130.120.05
0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.330.140.290.390.28-0.011.0-0.38-0.62-0.630.060.170.070.14-0.20.71
0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.330.140.290.390.28-0.011.0-0.38-0.62-0.630.060.170.070.14-0.20.71
-0.330.08-0.25-0.060.0-0.27-0.350.11-0.250.07-0.38-0.380.140.03-0.14-0.27-0.12-0.25-0.1-0.31
-0.05-0.32-0.05-0.050.370.18-0.17-0.42-0.040.3-0.62-0.620.140.860.33-0.170.340.29-0.06-0.41
0.19-0.10.230.070.660.10.18-0.330.11-0.11-0.63-0.630.030.860.170.00.170.160.05-0.37
0.03-0.92-0.31-0.130.060.93-0.38-0.48-0.490.150.060.06-0.140.330.17-0.341.00.99-0.290.07
0.110.40.330.610.16-0.20.490.410.52-0.210.170.17-0.27-0.170.0-0.34-0.33-0.27-0.17-0.21
0.01-0.92-0.31-0.130.080.92-0.39-0.5-0.490.150.070.07-0.120.340.171.0-0.330.98-0.330.06
0.09-0.91-0.25-0.110.070.96-0.3-0.44-0.430.130.140.14-0.250.290.160.99-0.270.98-0.220.12
0.050.150.01-0.08-0.16-0.11-0.030.17-0.010.12-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.060.05-0.29-0.17-0.33-0.22-0.07
0.12-0.09-0.06-0.09-0.130.110.420.110.340.050.710.71-0.31-0.41-0.370.07-0.210.060.12-0.07
Click cells to compare fundamentals

Breaking it down a bit more

Sonnet Biotherapeutics reported the previous year's revenue of 18.63 K. Net Loss for the year was (7.44 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (69.01 K).
 2021 2022 2023 2025 (projected)
Other Operating Expenses30.0M18.9M11.9M4.5M
Total Revenue349.9K147.8K18.6K42.6M
A rising tide lifts all boats, but sometimes even strong currents can't prevent individual stocks from sinking.
Sonnet Biotherapeutics Holdings shares dropped over 5% despite a broader market rally, highlighting the stock's inherent volatility. The company's beta of 0.94 suggests it moves closely with the market, yet its high coefficient of variation at 830.07 indicates significant risk relative to its returns. With a potential upside of 8.76 and a maximum drawdown of 17.77, traders should approach Sonnet with caution, especially given its 96% probability of bankruptcy and relatively low institutional ownership of 5.24%. While the biotech firm’s innovative platform offers promise, its current risk profile underscores the importance of careful risk management..

Will Sonnet Biotherapeutics investors go nuts after another decline?

Sonnet Biotherapeutics Holdings has seen its average deviation drop to 8.08, indicating a potential slowdown in its stock price swings. This reduction could bring some relief to investors, suggesting less erratic movement. However, given the recent downward trend, caution remains warranted—volatility can still spike unexpectedly. As the stock continues to fluctuate, traders will be watching closely to see if this calmer phase signals genuine stability or if more turbulence lies ahead. Overall, Sonnet’s volatility has been above average over recent periods, making it important for investors to keep a close eye on market conditions.
During downturns, increased volatility can amplify price swings, often prompting investors to rebalance their portfolios or seek safer assets. Understanding these shifts helps in making more informed decisions amid the ongoing market shifts.Despite a broader market rally, Sonnet Biotherapeutics shares dipped over -5%, highlighting underlying investor caution. The company's innovative platform and promising pipeline, including SON-1010, suggest significant upside potential—possibly reaching a possible upside price of $35.14—yet the current valuation at a market value of approximately $3.92 indicates a cautious approach is warranted. With an analyst consensus leaning toward a strong buy and an estimated target price around $20, there's a clear recognition of the long-term potential. However, the recent decline underscores the importance of patience and thorough analysis before committing, especially given the possible downside price of just $0.0392. For investors willing to navigate volatility, Sonnet's prospects remain intriguing, but it’s essential to stay mindful of the risks amid its developmental stage..

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Aina Ster do not own shares of Sonnet Biotherapeutics Holdings. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

Would you like to provide feedback on the content of this article?

You can get in touch with us directly or send us a quick note via email to editors@macroaxis.com