Momentus Probability Of Bankruptcy
| MNTS Stock | USD 4.34 0.23 5.03% |
Momentus | Probability Of Bankruptcy | Build AI portfolio with Momentus Stock |
Our calculation of Momentus probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Momentus odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Momentus financial health.
Is there potential for Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components market expansion? Will Momentus introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Momentus. Expected growth trajectory for Momentus significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Momentus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (107.81) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.187 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Momentus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Momentus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Momentus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Momentus' true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Momentus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Momentus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Momentus' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Momentus represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Momentus' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Momentus Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Momentus is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Momentus Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Momentus' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Momentus' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Momentus' interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
Is there potential for Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components market expansion? Will Momentus introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Momentus. Expected growth trajectory for Momentus significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Momentus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (107.81) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.187 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Momentus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Momentus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Momentus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Momentus' true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Momentus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Momentus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Momentus' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Momentus represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Momentus' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Momentus 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Momentus' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Momentus.
| 12/05/2025 |
| 03/05/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Momentus on December 5, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Momentus or generate 0.0% return on investment in Momentus over 90 days. Momentus is related to or competes with Nauticus Robotics, Air Industries, Volato, Eshallgo, Samfine Creation, Polar Power, and Universal Security. Momentus Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a commercial space company More
Momentus Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Momentus' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Momentus upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 74.16 | |||
| Value At Risk | (20.42) | |||
| Potential Upside | 17.86 |
Momentus Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Momentus' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Momentus' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Momentus historical prices to predict the future Momentus' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.65) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.13) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.11) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Momentus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Momentus March 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.10) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 9.36 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,874) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.99 | |||
| Variance | 195.63 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.65) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.13) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 74.16 | |||
| Value At Risk | (20.42) | |||
| Potential Upside | 17.86 | |||
| Skewness | 0.6505 | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.69 |
Momentus Backtested Returns
Momentus has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0613, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0613 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Momentus exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Momentus' Mean Deviation of 9.36, standard deviation of 13.99, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 4.47, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Momentus will likely underperform. At this point, Momentus has a negative expected return of -0.87%. Please make sure to verify Momentus' information ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and relative strength index , to decide if Momentus performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.47 |
Average predictability
Momentus has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Momentus time series from 5th of December 2025 to 19th of January 2026 and 19th of January 2026 to 5th of March 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Momentus price movement. The serial correlation of 0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Momentus price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.47 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.26 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.63 |
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Momentus has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 88%. This is 106.67% higher than that of the Machinery sector and 143.3% higher than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 120.94% lower than that of the firm.
Momentus Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Momentus' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Momentus could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Momentus by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Momentus is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Momentus Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | 0.65 | (1.08) | (3.34) | (3.51) | (4.04) | (4.24) | |
| Asset Turnover | 0.001776 | 0.003235 | 0.15 | 0.21 | 0.19 | 0.2 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.59 | 0.91 | 0.72 | 0.97 | 0.87 | 0.51 | |
| Net Debt | (130.7M) | (39.8M) | 6.3M | 4.4M | 4.0M | 3.8M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 38.9M | 43.2M | 11.1M | 15.0M | 17.3M | 18.2M | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 15.1M | 10.6M | 6.4M | 2.8M | 2.5M | 2.4M | |
| Total Assets | 185.8M | 92.4M | 20.6M | 10.0M | 9.0M | 8.5M | |
| Total Current Assets | 169.7M | 76.3M | 10.7M | 4.5M | 5.2M | 4.9M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | (86.7M) | (87.9M) | (61.8M) | (16.6M) | (14.9M) | (15.7M) |
Momentus ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Momentus' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Momentus' managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Momentus Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -8.14 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.93 | ||||
| Operating Margin | (26.69) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 10.84 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 1.67 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.45 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 4.50 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 317.89 K | ||||
| Price To Earning | 4.28 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.92 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 7.02 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.11 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.03 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (32.54 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (34.95 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 109.05 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.31 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 5.97 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.32 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.83 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (1.01) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (16.61 M) | ||||
| Short Ratio | 0.15 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (107.81) X | ||||
| Target Price | 4.1 | ||||
| Beta | 1.15 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 7.25 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 9.95 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (407.99 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (10.48 M) | ||||
| Net Asset | 9.95 M |
About Momentus Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Momentus's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Momentus using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Momentus based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Additional Tools for Momentus Stock Analysis
When running Momentus' price analysis, check to measure Momentus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Momentus is operating at the current time. Most of Momentus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Momentus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Momentus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Momentus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.