The Allstate Stock Beneish M Score

ALL Stock  USD 192.33  0.97  0.50%   
This module uses fundamental data of Allstate to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Allstate M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Allstate Piotroski F Score and Allstate Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Allstate's Debt Equity Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Debt Ratio is expected to rise to 0.08 this year, although the value of Net Debt will most likely fall to about 5 B. At this time, Allstate's Free Cash Flow Per Share is quite stable compared to the past year. Capex To Revenue is expected to rise to 0.01 this year, although the value of PTB Ratio will most likely fall to 1.62.
At this time, it appears that Allstate is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Allstate's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Allstate executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Allstate's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.6
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.48

Focus
Asset Quality

1.0

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.47

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.13

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.47

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.96

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.65

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.21

Focus

Allstate Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Allstate's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables9.6 B10 B
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue37 B57.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets122.9 B103.4 B
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Total Current Assets685.9 M722 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total44.3 B70.1 B
Way Down
Very volatile
Property Plant Equipment1.1 B1.1 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization705.6 M672 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities66 B42 B
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total90 B85.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net DebtB7.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt6.4 B7.9 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities4.2 B4.2 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments3.4 B1.9 B
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments66.1 B64.8 B
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.990.875
Moderately Up
Pretty Stable

Allstate Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Allstate's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Allstate in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Allstate's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Allstate Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

30.82 Billion

At this time, Allstate's Other Operating Expenses is quite stable compared to the past year.

Allstate Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Allstate. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables15.7B15.7B18.4B18.8B10.0B9.6B
Total Revenue44.7B44.8B50.6B51.4B57.1B37.0B
Total Assets120.0B126.0B99.4B98.0B103.4B122.9B
Total Current Assets20.3B23.9B23.2B11.6B722M685.9M
Net Debt6.3B7.4B7.2B7.2B7.2B5.0B
Long Term Debt6.6B7.8B8.0B8.0B7.9B6.4B
Operating Income5.0B5.9B716M(1.9B)(213M)(202.4M)
Investments(350M)(7.5B)3.6B(4.2B)(2.3B)(2.2B)

Allstate ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Allstate's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Allstate's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Allstate Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze The Allstate's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Allstate using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of The Allstate based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Allstate is a strong investment it is important to analyze Allstate's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Allstate's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Allstate Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Allstate. If investors know Allstate will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Allstate listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.68)
Dividend Share
3.65
Earnings Share
15.47
Revenue Per Share
236.821
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.147
The market value of Allstate is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Allstate that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Allstate's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Allstate's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Allstate's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Allstate's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Allstate's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Allstate is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Allstate's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.