Marriot Vacations Worldwide Stock Price Prediction
| VAC Stock | USD 72.98 1.37 1.84% |
Momentum 72
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.822 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.842 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.6451 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.6813 | Wall Street Target Price 90.2 |
Using Marriot Vacations hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marriot Vacations Worldwide from the perspective of Marriot Vacations response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Marriot Vacations using Marriot Vacations' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Marriot using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Marriot Vacations' stock price.
Marriot Vacations Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Marriot Vacations' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Marriot. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Marriot Vacations stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 77.0512 | Short Percent 0.0661 | Short Ratio 2.74 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 73.8738 |
Marriot Vacations Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Marriot Vacations' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Marriot. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Marriot can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Marriot Vacations Worldwide. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Marriot Vacations' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Marriot Vacations.
Marriot Vacations Implied Volatility | 0.59 |
Marriot Vacations' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Marriot Vacations Worldwide stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Marriot Vacations' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Marriot Vacations stock will not fluctuate a lot when Marriot Vacations' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Marriot Vacations to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Marriot because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Marriot Vacations after-hype prediction price | USD 72.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Marriot contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Marriot Vacations Worldwide will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0369% per day over the life of the 2025-10-17 option contract. With Marriot Vacations trading at USD 72.98, that is roughly USD 0.0269 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Marriot Vacations' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Marriot Vacations Worldwide options at the current volatility level of 0.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Marriot Vacations Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Marriot Vacations After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Marriot Vacations at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Marriot Vacations or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Marriot Vacations, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Marriot Vacations Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Marriot Vacations' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Marriot Vacations' historical news coverage. Marriot Vacations' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 69.96 and 74.98, respectively. We have considered Marriot Vacations' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Marriot Vacations is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Marriot Vacations is based on 3 months time horizon.
Marriot Vacations Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Marriot Vacations is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marriot Vacations backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Marriot Vacations, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 2.49 | 0.49 | 0.24 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
72.98 | 72.47 | 0.70 |
|
Marriot Vacations Hype Timeline
On the 6th of August Marriot Vacations is traded for 72.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.49, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.24. Marriot is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 72.47. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 126.4%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.7%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Marriot Vacations is about 257.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.74. About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.05. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Marriot Vacations has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.48. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.85. The firm last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2025. Marriot Vacations had 1:2 split on the 9th of July 2010. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Marriot Vacations Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Marriot Vacations Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Marriot Vacations' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Marriot Vacations' future price movements. Getting to know how Marriot Vacations' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Marriot Vacations may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HGV | Hilton Grand Vacations | (0.44) | 7 per month | 2.48 | 0.07 | 3.83 | (2.48) | 17.69 | |
| MTN | Vail Resorts | (0.15) | 9 per month | 1.59 | 0.01 | 3.09 | (2.80) | 11.65 | |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino Resort | 0.98 | 11 per month | 0.77 | 0.11 | 2.48 | (1.87) | 22.58 | |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels Resorts | (1.47) | 8 per month | 1.52 | (0.06) | 3.31 | (2.69) | 6.95 | |
| CHH | Choice Hotels International | (2.64) | 8 per month | 1.48 | (0.07) | 2.69 | (2.67) | 6.38 | |
| MAR | Marriott International | (3.45) | 9 per month | 1.24 | (0.01) | 2.26 | (2.49) | 8.64 | |
| H | Hyatt Hotels | 0.39 | 12 per month | 1.13 | 0.11 | 3.63 | (1.88) | 10.25 |
Marriot Vacations Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Marriot price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marriot using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marriot charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Marriot Vacations Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Marriot Vacations stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Marriot Vacations Worldwide, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Marriot Vacations based on analysis of Marriot Vacations hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Marriot Vacations's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Marriot Vacations's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0182 | 0.0342 | 0.0337 | 0.0611 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.17 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 0.82 |
Story Coverage note for Marriot Vacations
The number of cover stories for Marriot Vacations depends on current market conditions and Marriot Vacations' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Marriot Vacations is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Marriot Vacations' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Marriot Vacations Short Properties
Marriot Vacations' future price predictability will typically decrease when Marriot Vacations' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Marriot Vacations Worldwide often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Marriot Vacations' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marriot Vacations' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 197 M |
Complementary Tools for Marriot Stock analysis
When running Marriot Vacations' price analysis, check to measure Marriot Vacations' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marriot Vacations is operating at the current time. Most of Marriot Vacations' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marriot Vacations' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marriot Vacations' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marriot Vacations to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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