Stoneco Stock Price Prediction

STNE Stock  USD 9.48  0.93  8.93%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of StoneCo's share price is approaching 31. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling StoneCo, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

31

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of StoneCo's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of StoneCo and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from StoneCo's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with StoneCo, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting StoneCo's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.424
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.34
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.7876
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.1169
Wall Street Target Price
92.2335
Using StoneCo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of StoneCo from the perspective of StoneCo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

StoneCo Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to StoneCo's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in StoneCo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding StoneCo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around StoneCo. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of StoneCo's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about StoneCo.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in StoneCo to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying StoneCo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

StoneCo after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.36  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out StoneCo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade StoneCo Stock refer to our How to Trade StoneCo Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.8212.1515.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.0110.3413.67
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.9415.3217.01
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.631.701.87
Details

StoneCo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of StoneCo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in StoneCo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of StoneCo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

StoneCo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting StoneCo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on StoneCo's historical news coverage. StoneCo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.03 and 12.69, respectively. We have considered StoneCo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.48
9.36
After-hype Price
12.69
Upside
StoneCo is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of StoneCo is based on 3 months time horizon.

StoneCo Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as StoneCo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading StoneCo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with StoneCo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.46 
3.33
  0.12 
  0.36 
10 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.48
9.36
1.27 
1,281  
Notes

StoneCo Hype Timeline

StoneCo is at this time traded for 9.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.36. StoneCo is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.36. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.27%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.46%. The volatility of related hype on StoneCo is about 425.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.12. About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.18. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. StoneCo had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out StoneCo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade StoneCo Stock refer to our How to Trade StoneCo Stock guide.

StoneCo Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to StoneCo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict StoneCo's future price movements. Getting to know how StoneCo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how StoneCo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DLODlocal(0.41)8 per month 2.17  0.11  6.30 (3.98) 15.87 
NEWRNew Relic 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.68 (3.35) 18.35 
NTNXNutanix 0.55 10 per month 2.01  0.07  3.95 (3.15) 28.12 
EGIOEdgio Inc(0.13)5 per month 52.53  0.17  300.00 (92.65) 100,000 
PAGSPagSeguro Digital 0.16 10 per month 0.00 (0.29) 3.17 (4.94) 11.66 
MQMarqeta 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.36 (4.13) 51.58 
CFLTConfluent 0.77 9 per month 2.22  0.17  7.14 (3.85) 18.55 
SPLKSplunk Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.70  0.03  4.36 (3.33) 10.70 
PANWPalo Alto Networks(9.27)8 per month 1.89  0.02  2.45 (3.03) 9.85 
CRWDCrowdstrike Holdings(7.16)8 per month 1.88  0.12  4.04 (3.44) 12.69 
NETCloudflare 0.23 8 per month 1.83  0.09  5.47 (3.44) 13.45 
PLTRPalantir Technologies Class 2.75 9 per month 1.42  0.27  8.61 (2.80) 30.33 
ZSZscaler(0.42)11 per month 3.80  0  3.73 (3.37) 20.36 
OKTAOkta Inc(0.79)12 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.39 (3.42) 17.64 
PATHUipath Inc(0.29)10 per month 2.49  0.03  4.52 (3.82) 12.04 
MDBMongoDB 1.45 12 per month 1.87  0.11  6.18 (3.22) 23.05 

StoneCo Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine StoneCo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for StoneCo using various technical indicators. When you analyze StoneCo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About StoneCo Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of StoneCo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as StoneCo, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of StoneCo based on analysis of StoneCo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to StoneCo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to StoneCo's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding1.6K863.49782.27743.16
PTB Ratio2.151.22.011.91

Story Coverage note for StoneCo

The number of cover stories for StoneCo depends on current market conditions and StoneCo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that StoneCo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about StoneCo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

StoneCo Short Properties

StoneCo's future price predictability will typically decrease when StoneCo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of StoneCo often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential StoneCo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. StoneCo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding319.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.7 B

Complementary Tools for StoneCo Stock analysis

When running StoneCo's price analysis, check to measure StoneCo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy StoneCo is operating at the current time. Most of StoneCo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of StoneCo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move StoneCo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of StoneCo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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