Bridger Aerospace Group Stock Price Prediction

BAERW Stock   0.09  0.0009  1.00%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Bridger Aerospace's share price is approaching 48 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bridger Aerospace, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

48

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bridger Aerospace's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bridger Aerospace and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bridger Aerospace's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bridger Aerospace Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Bridger Aerospace's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.073
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.203
Using Bridger Aerospace hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bridger Aerospace Group from the perspective of Bridger Aerospace response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bridger Aerospace to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bridger because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bridger Aerospace after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Bridger Aerospace Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0720.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.1121.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.080.10.11
Details

Bridger Aerospace After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bridger Aerospace at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bridger Aerospace or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bridger Aerospace, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bridger Aerospace Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bridger Aerospace's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bridger Aerospace's historical news coverage. Bridger Aerospace's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 20.99, respectively. We have considered Bridger Aerospace's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.09
0.08
After-hype Price
20.99
Upside
Bridger Aerospace is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bridger Aerospace is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bridger Aerospace Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bridger Aerospace is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bridger Aerospace backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bridger Aerospace, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.43 
20.73
  0.01 
  0.03 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.09
0.08
12.09 
207,300  
Notes

Bridger Aerospace Hype Timeline

Bridger Aerospace is currently traded for 0.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Bridger is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.08. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -12.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.43%. The volatility of related hype on Bridger Aerospace is about 109105.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.06. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Bridger Aerospace Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bridger Aerospace Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bridger Aerospace's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bridger Aerospace's future price movements. Getting to know how Bridger Aerospace's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bridger Aerospace may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Bridger Aerospace Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bridger price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bridger using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bridger charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bridger Aerospace Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bridger Aerospace stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bridger Aerospace Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bridger Aerospace based on analysis of Bridger Aerospace hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bridger Aerospace's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bridger Aerospace's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding0.320.2322.523.28
PTB Ratio6.335.2611.625.97

Story Coverage note for Bridger Aerospace

The number of cover stories for Bridger Aerospace depends on current market conditions and Bridger Aerospace's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bridger Aerospace is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bridger Aerospace's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Bridger Aerospace Short Properties

Bridger Aerospace's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bridger Aerospace's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bridger Aerospace Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bridger Aerospace's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bridger Aerospace's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments37.9 M

Additional Tools for Bridger Stock Analysis

When running Bridger Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure Bridger Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bridger Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Bridger Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bridger Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bridger Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bridger Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.