Msa Safety Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MSA Stock  USD 174.26  0.70  0.40%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding MSA Safety is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides MSA Safety buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MSA positions.
  
Check out MSA Safety Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade MSA Stock refer to our How to Trade MSA Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as MSA and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards MSA Safety. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute MSA Safety Buy or Sell Advice

The MSA recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on MSA Safety. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in MSA Safety or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute MSA Safety's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MSA SafetyBuy MSA Safety
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon MSA Safety has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0), Jensen Alpha of (0.18), Total Risk Alpha of (0.30) and Treynor Ratio of (0.02)
Macroaxis provides trade advice on MSA Safety to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on MSA Safety. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure MSA Safety is not overpriced, please verify all MSA Safety fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, gross profit, book value per share, as well as the relationship between the price to earning and cash per share . Given that MSA Safety has a price to earning of 84.09 X, we recommend you to check MSA Safety market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.

MSA Safety Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

MSA Safety generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MSA Safety is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: MSA Safety Rating Increased to Strong-Buy at B. Riley

MSA Safety Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of MSA Safety's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of MSA Safety's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of MSA Safety daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use MSA Safety price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of MSA Safety returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for MSA Safety.
Mean Return
-0.01
Value At Risk
-1.99
Potential Upside
2.01
Standard Deviation
1.26
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of MSA Safety historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

MSA Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
612.5 K
Brown Advisory Holdings Inc2024-06-30
597.1 K
Cooke & Bieler Lp2024-09-30
519.9 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
461.7 K
Conestoga Capital Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
440.3 K
Principal Financial Group Inc2024-09-30
437.8 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-06-30
391.4 K
Channing Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
390.6 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
381.1 K
Apg All Pensions Group2024-06-30
4.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
3.8 M
Note, although MSA Safety's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

MSA Safety Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(23.2M)(8.6M)(17.8M)(67.4M)51.6M54.2M
Change In Cash11.9M8.5M(19.6M)23.0M(16.0M)(15.2M)
Free Cash Flow128.4M157.7M150.0M113.5M50.1M63.1M
Depreciation38.0M39.7M50.3M56.3M60.8M31.9M
Other Non Cash Items(15.0M)35.4M205.2M(4.2M)(142.7M)(135.6M)
Dividends Paid63.5M66.6M68.6M71.5M(73.5M)(69.8M)
Capital Expenditures36.6M48.9M49.1M43.9M42.8M32.5M
Net Income137.6M121.2M21.8M179.6M58.5M62.9M
End Period Cash Flow152.2M161.0M141.4M164.4M148.4M82.2M
Net Borrowings(16.6M)(44M)293.2M(13M)(11.7M)(11.1M)
Change To Netincome39.9M47.4M185.7M35.2M40.4M38.8M
Investments5.4M(24.3M)26.1M(4.5M)(28.4M)(29.8M)
Change Receivables(8.9M)7.7M4.4M(38.6M)(34.7M)(33.0M)

MSA Safety Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MSA Safety or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MSA Safety's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MSA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.98
σ
Overall volatility
1.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

MSA Safety Volatility Alert

MSA Safety exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.21 and kurtosis of 1.34. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MSA Safety's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MSA Safety's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

MSA Safety Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing MSA Safety's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze MSA Safety's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between MSA Safety and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as MSA Safety or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of MSA Safety's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MSA Safety by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare MSA Safety to competition
FundamentalsMSA SafetyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.28-0.31
Return On Asset0.12-0.14
Profit Margin0.15 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.23 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.28 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding39.31 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.14 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions86.85 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted282.42 K4.71 M
Price To Earning84.09 X28.72 X
Price To Book6.25 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.80 X11.42 X
Revenue1.79 B9.43 B
Gross Profit673.83 M27.38 B
EBITDA457.52 M3.9 B
Net Income58.54 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents162.9 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.71 X5.01 X
Total Debt655.69 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.76 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.47 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share27.77 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations92.86 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.63 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share6.92 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.70 X4.89 X
Target Price197.5
Number Of Employees5 K18.84 K
Beta0.99-0.15
Market Capitalization6.85 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.17 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.14 B9.33 B
Working Capital453.45 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1000 shares by Nishan Vartanian of MSA Safety subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

MSA Safety Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MSA . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About MSA Safety Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell MSA Safety? Buying financial instruments such as MSA Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having MSA Safety in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Beers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether MSA Safety offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MSA Safety's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Msa Safety Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Msa Safety Stock:
Check out MSA Safety Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade MSA Stock refer to our How to Trade MSA Stock guide.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MSA Safety. If investors know MSA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MSA Safety listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.024
Dividend Share
1.96
Earnings Share
6.92
Revenue Per Share
45.8
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of MSA Safety is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MSA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MSA Safety's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MSA Safety's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MSA Safety's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MSA Safety's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MSA Safety's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MSA Safety is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MSA Safety's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.