Grupo Televisa (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.09
| TLEVISACPO | MXN 8.41 0.18 2.19% |
Grupo |
Grupo Televisa Target Price Odds to finish over 11.09
The tendency of Grupo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 11.09 or more in 90 days |
| 8.41 | 90 days | 11.09 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grupo Televisa to move over 11.09 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Grupo Televisa SAB probability density function shows the probability of Grupo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grupo Televisa SAB price to stay between its current price of 8.41 and 11.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Grupo Televisa has a beta of 0.0674. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Grupo Televisa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Grupo Televisa SAB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Grupo Televisa SAB has an alpha of 0.1927, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Grupo Televisa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Grupo Televisa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Televisa SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Grupo Televisa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grupo Televisa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grupo Televisa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grupo Televisa SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grupo Televisa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Grupo Televisa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grupo Televisa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grupo Televisa SAB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Grupo Televisa SAB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Grupo Televisa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grupo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grupo Televisa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grupo Televisa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 329.3 B |
Grupo Televisa Technical Analysis
Grupo Televisa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grupo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grupo Televisa SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grupo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Grupo Televisa Predictive Forecast Models
Grupo Televisa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grupo Televisa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grupo Televisa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Grupo Televisa SAB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Grupo Televisa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grupo Televisa SAB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Grupo Televisa SAB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Grupo Stock
When determining whether Grupo Televisa SAB is a strong investment it is important to analyze Grupo Televisa's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Grupo Televisa's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Grupo Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Grupo Televisa Backtesting, Grupo Televisa Valuation, Grupo Televisa Correlation, Grupo Televisa Hype Analysis, Grupo Televisa Volatility, Grupo Televisa History as well as Grupo Televisa Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.