CuriosityStream Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

CURIW Stock  USD 0.03  0  10.45%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CuriosityStream on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.37. CuriosityStream Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, CuriosityStream's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 18.10 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 4.97 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 49.1 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to drop to about (59 M) in 2024.
A four-period moving average forecast model for CuriosityStream is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

CuriosityStream 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CuriosityStream on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000066, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CuriosityStream Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CuriosityStream's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CuriosityStream Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CuriosityStreamCuriosityStream Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

CuriosityStream Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CuriosityStream's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CuriosityStream's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 138.70, respectively. We have considered CuriosityStream's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.03
0.0003
Downside
0.03
Expected Value
138.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CuriosityStream stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CuriosityStream stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.9755
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -8.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0063
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors0.3653
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of CuriosityStream. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for CuriosityStream and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for CuriosityStream

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CuriosityStream. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0351.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0251.52
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CuriosityStream

For every potential investor in CuriosityStream, whether a beginner or expert, CuriosityStream's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CuriosityStream Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CuriosityStream. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CuriosityStream's price trends.

CuriosityStream Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CuriosityStream stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CuriosityStream could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CuriosityStream by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CuriosityStream Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CuriosityStream's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CuriosityStream's current price.

CuriosityStream Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CuriosityStream stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CuriosityStream shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CuriosityStream stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CuriosityStream entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CuriosityStream Risk Indicators

The analysis of CuriosityStream's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CuriosityStream's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting curiositystream stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for CuriosityStream Stock Analysis

When running CuriosityStream's price analysis, check to measure CuriosityStream's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CuriosityStream is operating at the current time. Most of CuriosityStream's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CuriosityStream's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CuriosityStream's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CuriosityStream to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.