Acadian Asset Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

AAMI Stock   40.06  0.01  0.03%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Acadian Asset Management on the next trading day is expected to be 42.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.52. Acadian Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Acadian Asset's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of now, Acadian Asset's Payables Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The Acadian Asset's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 4.57, while Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to decrease to 5.45. . The Acadian Asset's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 75.2 M.

Open Interest Against 2025-10-17 Acadian Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Acadian Asset's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Acadian Asset's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Acadian Asset stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Acadian Asset's open interest, investors have to compare it to Acadian Asset's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Acadian Asset is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Acadian. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Acadian Asset polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Acadian Asset Management as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Acadian Asset Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of July

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Acadian Asset Management on the next trading day is expected to be 42.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68, mean absolute percentage error of 0.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Acadian Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Acadian Asset's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Acadian Asset Stock Forecast Pattern

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Acadian Asset Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Acadian Asset's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Acadian Asset's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.23 and 44.24, respectively. We have considered Acadian Asset's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
40.06
42.74
Expected Value
44.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Acadian Asset stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Acadian Asset stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.6924
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6807
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0208
SAESum of the absolute errors41.5208
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Acadian Asset historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Acadian Asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acadian Asset Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.7340.2341.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.6636.1644.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
35.9838.5941.20
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
26.3929.0032.19
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Acadian Asset

For every potential investor in Acadian, whether a beginner or expert, Acadian Asset's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Acadian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Acadian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Acadian Asset's price trends.

Acadian Asset Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Acadian Asset stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Acadian Asset could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Acadian Asset by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Acadian Asset Management Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Acadian Asset's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Acadian Asset's current price.

Acadian Asset Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Acadian Asset stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Acadian Asset shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Acadian Asset stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Acadian Asset Management entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Acadian Asset Risk Indicators

The analysis of Acadian Asset's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Acadian Asset's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting acadian stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Acadian Asset Management offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Acadian Asset's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Acadian Asset Management Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Acadian Asset Management Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acadian Asset to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Acadian Asset. If investors know Acadian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Acadian Asset listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
Dividend Share
0.04
Earnings Share
1.64
Revenue Per Share
12.087
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.147
The market value of Acadian Asset Management is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Acadian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Acadian Asset's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Acadian Asset's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Acadian Asset's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Acadian Asset's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Acadian Asset's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Acadian Asset is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Acadian Asset's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.