Today post will break down Kearny Financial. I will inspect why investors should continue to be optimistic in the company outlook. Kearny Financial Corp is now traded for12.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01. The firm is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 12.77. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 611.76%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.08% where as daily expected return is now at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Kearny Financial is about 14899.71% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 12.77. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. What is Kearny Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price? Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Kearny Financial to move above current price in 30 days from now is roughly 97.0%. The Kearny Financial Corp probability density function shows the probability of Kearny Financial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days . Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Kearny Financial has beta of 0.0076 indicating as returns on market go up, Kearny Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Kearny Financial Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally, the company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Kearny Financial Corp is significantly underperforming S&P 500.
The company secures Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0076 which conveys that as returns on market increase, Kearny Financial returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding Kearny Financial will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Kearny Financial Corpprice patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical price patterns. Macroaxis philosophy towards estimating future performance of any stock is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Kearny Financial exposes twenty-one different technical indicators which can help you to evaluate its performance. Kearny Financial Corp has expected return of -0.07%. Please be advised to verify Kearny Financial Corp Market Risk Adjusted Performance, Variance as well as the relationship between Variance and Potential Upside to decide if Kearny Financial Corp past performance will be repeated at some point in the near future.
The successful prediction of Kearny Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kearny Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kearny Financial based on Kearny Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Kearny Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kearny Financial's related companies.
Use Technical Analysis to project Kearny expected Price
Kearny Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Kearny Financial technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Kearny Financial trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...
How important is Kearny Financial's Liquidity
Kearny Financial financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Kearny Financial Corp ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Kearny Financial financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Kearny Financial's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Kearny Financial's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Kearny Financial's total debt and its cash.
Kearny Financial Gross Profit
Kearny Financial Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Kearny Financial previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Kearny Financial Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Kearny Financial's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.
Breaking it down a bit more
This firm currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 1.17B. The small decline in market price for the last few months may raise some interest from investors. The Stock closed today at a share price of 12.65 on 244529.000 in trading volume. The company executives did not add much value to Kearny Financial Corp investors in February. However, diversifying your holdings with Kearny Financial or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.0374. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. Kearny Financial preserves 66.87% of shares owned by institutions. Kearny Financial is selling for under 12.77. That is 0.08 percent increase. Opened at 12.77. Kearny Financial Shareholders Equity is decreasing over the last 4 years. The previous year value of Kearny Financial Shareholders Equity was 379,598,984. Kearny Financial Enterprise Value is fairly stable at the moment. Furthermore, Kearny Financial Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is increasing over the last 5 years.
All in all, our analysis show that Kearny Financial Moves indifferently to market moves. The company is fairly valued and projects chance of bankruptcy close to average for the next 2 years. Our up-to-date buy vs hold vs sell advice on the company is Hold.
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Ellen Johnson is a Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Ellen covers public companies in North America, focusing primarily on valuation and volatility. Six years of experience in predictive investment analytics and risk management. View Profile
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