Athersys Volatility

ATHXDelisted Stock  USD 0.01  0  18.75%   
Athersys secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.25, which signifies that the company had a -0.25% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Athersys exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Athersys' mean deviation of 13.71, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0164 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Athersys' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Athersys Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Athersys daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Athersys's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Athersys volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Athersys can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Athersys at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Athersys stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Athersys' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving against Athersys Pink Sheet

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Athersys Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Athersys' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Athersys pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Athersys pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Athersys's beta of 2.47 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Athersys pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Athersys is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Athersys is a penny stock. Even though Athersys may be a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative instruments that are subject to artificial stock promotions. Please make sure you fully understand upside and downside scenarios of investing in Athersys or similar risky assets. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings,sudden promotions and many other similar artificial hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check work history of company executives before investing in high-volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Athersys instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Athersys Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Athersys correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Athersys Beta

    
  2.47  
Athersys standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  11.4  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Athersys's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Athersys' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in athersys pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Athersys.

Athersys Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Athersys pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Athersys' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Athersys' pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Athersys' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of pink sheet volatility measures Athersys' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Athersys' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Athersys' current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Athersys' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
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Athersys Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.4742 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Athersys will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Athersys or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Athersys' price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Athersys pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Athersys has an alpha of 0.0983, implying that it can generate a 0.0983 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Athersys' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how athersys pink sheet's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Athersys Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Athersys Pink Sheet Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Athersys is -406.6. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 129.87 and standard deviation of 11.4. The mean deviation of Athersys is currently at 8.64. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.1
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.47
σ
Overall volatility
11.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Athersys Pink Sheet Return Volatility

Athersys historical daily return volatility represents how much of Athersys pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 11.396% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6214% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Athersys Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Athersys or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Athersys may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Athersys's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Athersys and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Athersys fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Athersys, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the research and development activities in the field of regenerative medicine. Athersys, Inc. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio. Athersys operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 104 people.
Athersys' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Athersys Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Athersys' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Athersys' volatility to invest better

Higher Athersys' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Athersys stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Athersys stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Athersys investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Athersys' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Athersys' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Athersys Investment Opportunity

Athersys has a volatility of 11.4 and is 18.39 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 96 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Athersys. You can use Athersys to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a very speculative downward sentiment. The market maybe over-reacting. Check odds of Athersys to be traded at $0.0062 in 90 days.

Significant diversification

The correlation between Athersys and NYA is 0.06 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Athersys and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Athersys Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Athersys' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Athersys' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Athersys pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Athersys Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Athersys as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Athersys' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Athersys' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Athersys.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
Note that the Athersys information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Athersys' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

Other Consideration for investing in Athersys Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Athersys check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Athersys' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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