Blue Bird Valuation

BLBD Stock  USD 37.85  1.20  3.27%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Blue Bird Corp shows a prevailing Real Value of $34.22 per share. The current price of the firm is $37.85. Our model approximates the value of Blue Bird Corp from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 1.85, profit margin of 0.05 %, and Current Valuation of 1.24 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, most investors favor purchasing undervalued instruments and exiting overvalued instruments since, at some point, asset prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Price Book
15.6143
Enterprise Value
1.2 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
11.6368
Price Sales
0.9977
Forward PE
15.1745
Overvalued
Today
37.85
Please note that Blue Bird's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Blue Bird Corp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Blue Bird's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for Blue Bird Corp is useful when determining the fair value of the Blue stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Blue Bird. Since Blue Bird is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Blue Stock. However, Blue Bird's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  37.85 Real  34.22 Target  27.58 Hype  38.29 Naive  38.47
The real value of Blue Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Blue Bird Corp Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Blue Bird's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Blue Bird's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Blue Bird's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
34.22
Real Value
41.64
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Blue Bird Corp helps investors to forecast how Blue stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Blue Bird more accurately as focusing exclusively on Blue Bird's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.210.480.59
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.7038.2940.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
35.8838.4741.06
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
25.1027.5830.61
Details

Blue Bird Investments

(10.29 Million)

Blue Bird Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Blue Bird's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Blue Bird value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Blue Bird competition to find correlations between indicators driving Blue Bird's intrinsic value. More Info.
Blue Bird Corp is rated third in beta category among related companies. It is rated third in price to sales category among related companies fabricating about  0.74  of Price To Sales per Beta. The ratio of Beta to Price To Sales for Blue Bird Corp is roughly  1.35 . As of March 28, 2024, Price To Sales Ratio is expected to decline to 0.39. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value Blue Bird by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for Blue Bird's Stock . Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Blue Bird's earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Blue Bird's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Blue Bird and how it compares across the competition.

About Blue Bird Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines the current worth of Blue Bird Corp on a weekly basis. We use both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Blue Bird Corp. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Blue Bird Corp based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Blue Bird's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and its related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Blue Bird's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Blue Bird. We calculate exposure to Blue Bird's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Blue Bird's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Gross Profit125 M87.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.03  0.03 
Operating Profit Margin 0.05  0.03 
Net Profit Margin 0.02  0.03 
Gross Profit Margin 0.14  0.12 

8 Steps to conduct Blue Bird's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Blue Bird's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Blue Bird's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Blue Bird's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Blue Bird's revenue streams: Identify Blue Bird's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Blue Bird's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Blue Bird's growth potential: Evaluate Blue Bird's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Blue Bird's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Blue Bird's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Blue Bird Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines. Note, investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Blue Bird does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y2.351
Forward Price Earnings15.1745

Blue Bird Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Blue Bird Corp and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Blue we look at many different elements of the entity such as Blue's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation. Blue Bird's valuation analysis is also a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Blue Bird's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Blue Bird, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Blue Bird's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Blue Bird's worth.
When determining whether Blue Bird Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Blue Bird's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Blue Bird's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Blue Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Blue Bird Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Note that the Blue Bird Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Blue Bird's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

Complementary Tools for Blue Stock analysis

When running Blue Bird's price analysis, check to measure Blue Bird's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Bird is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Bird's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Bird's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Bird's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Bird to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Blue Bird's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Bird. If investors know Blue will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blue Bird listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.351
Earnings Share
1.9
Revenue Per Share
37.832
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.348
Return On Assets
0.1571
The market value of Blue Bird Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blue that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blue Bird's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blue Bird's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blue Bird's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blue Bird's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blue Bird's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blue Bird is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blue Bird's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.