Northern Large Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| NOLVX Fund | USD 20.21 0.01 0.05% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Northern Large Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 20.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.98. Northern Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Northern Large stock prices and determine the direction of Northern Large Cap's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Northern Large's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Northern Large to cross-verify your projections. Northern |
Most investors in Northern Large cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, fund markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Northern Large's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Northern Large's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Northern Large polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Northern Large Cap as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Northern Large Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 18th of April 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Northern Large Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 20.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Northern Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Northern Large's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Northern Large Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
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Northern Large Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Northern Large's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Northern Large's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.65 and 20.98, respectively. We have considered Northern Large's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Northern Large mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Northern Large mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.2294 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1144 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0056 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.9802 |
Predictive Modules for Northern Large
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Large Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northern Large's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Northern Large
For every potential investor in Northern, whether a beginner or expert, Northern Large's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Northern Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Northern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Northern Large's price trends.Northern Large Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Northern Large mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Northern Large could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northern Large by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Northern Large Cap Technical and Predictive Analytics
The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Northern Large's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Northern Large's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Northern Large Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Northern Large mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Northern Large shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Northern Large mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Northern Large Cap entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.21 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 59.0 |
Northern Large Risk Indicators
The analysis of Northern Large's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Northern Large's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting northern mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4991 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.663 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6657 | |||
| Variance | 0.4431 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.6162 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4396 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.51) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Northern Large to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.