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Hamilton Beach Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

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HBB -- USA Stock  

Earnings Report: April 23, 2020  

Investors can use this prediction interface to forecast Hamilton Beach historic stock prices and determine the direction of Hamilton Beach Brands Holding C future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, looking at historical price movement exclusively is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Hamilton Beach historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Hamilton Beach Brands Holding C systematic risks associated with finding meaningful patterns of Hamilton Beach fundamentals over time. Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hamilton Beach to cross-verify your projections.
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A two period moving average forecast for Hamilton Beach is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.
Given 30 days horizon, the value of Hamilton Beach Brands Holding C on the next trading day is expected to be 12.98

Hamilton Beach Stock Forecast Pattern

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Hamilton Beach Forecasted Value

Market Value
12.70
February 27, 2020
12.98
Expected Value
18.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

AICAkaike Information Criteria112.4767
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1546
MADMean absolute deviation0.2769
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.017
SAESum of the absolute errors16.34
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Hamilton Beach Brands Holding C price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Hamilton Beach. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting stock prices into the future

Volatility Measures

Hamilton Beach Risk Indicators

Current Sentiment - HBB

Hamilton Beach Brands Investor Sentiment

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Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hamilton Beach to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.