Erie Indemnity Stock Forecast - Day Typical Price
| ERIE Stock | USD 380.46 2.27 0.60% |
Erie Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Erie Indemnity stock prices and determine the direction of Erie Indemnity's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Erie Indemnity's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Erie Indemnity's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Erie Indemnity's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Erie Indemnity fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Erie Indemnity to cross-verify your projections. Erie |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Erie Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Erie Indemnity's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Erie Indemnity's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Erie Indemnity stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Erie Indemnity's open interest, investors have to compare it to Erie Indemnity's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Erie Indemnity is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Erie. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Erie Indemnity cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Erie Indemnity's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Erie Indemnity's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Typical Price is calculated as arithmetic average of the high, low and closing price for a given trading period.| Previous Day Typical Price | Day Typical Price | Trend |
| 380.37 |
| Check Erie Indemnity Volatility | Backtest Erie Indemnity | Information Ratio |
The period considered in calculating typical price is a single trading day, however the typical price can also be applied to other time spans such as a week, month or year.
| Compare Erie Indemnity to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Erie Indemnity
For every potential investor in Erie, whether a beginner or expert, Erie Indemnity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Erie Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Erie. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Erie Indemnity's price trends.Erie Indemnity Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Erie Indemnity stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Erie Indemnity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Erie Indemnity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Erie Indemnity Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Erie Indemnity's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Erie Indemnity's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Erie Indemnity Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Erie Indemnity stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Erie Indemnity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Erie Indemnity stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Erie Indemnity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Erie Indemnity Risk Indicators
The analysis of Erie Indemnity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Erie Indemnity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting erie stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Variance | 3.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.05 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Erie Indemnity
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Erie Indemnity position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Erie Indemnity will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Erie Stock
| 0.77 | AJG | Arthur J Gallagher Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | AON | Aon PLC Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against Erie Stock
| 0.74 | FANH | Fanhua Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | RELI | Reliance Global Group | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | EHTH | eHealth Financial Report 14th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | GOCO | GoHealth Financial Report 13th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Erie Indemnity could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Erie Indemnity when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Erie Indemnity - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Erie Indemnity to buy it.
The correlation of Erie Indemnity is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Erie Indemnity moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Erie Indemnity moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Erie Indemnity can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Erie Indemnity to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Erie Stock refer to our How to Trade Erie Stock guide.You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Complementary Tools for Erie Stock analysis
When running Erie Indemnity's price analysis, check to measure Erie Indemnity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Erie Indemnity is operating at the current time. Most of Erie Indemnity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Erie Indemnity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Erie Indemnity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Erie Indemnity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Erie Indemnity's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Erie Indemnity. If investors know Erie will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Erie Indemnity listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.697 | Dividend Share 4.845 | Earnings Share 8.52 | Revenue Per Share 70.773 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.167 |
The market value of Erie Indemnity is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Erie that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Erie Indemnity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Erie Indemnity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Erie Indemnity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Erie Indemnity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Erie Indemnity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Erie Indemnity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Erie Indemnity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.