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Babcock Wilcox Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

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BW -- USA Stock  

USD 4.15  0.09  2.12%

Investors can use this prediction interface to forecast Babcock Wilcox historic stock prices and determine the direction of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises I future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, looking at historical price movement exclusively is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Babcock Wilcox historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises I systematic risks associated with finding meaningful patterns of Babcock Wilcox fundamentals over time. Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Babcock Wilcox to cross-verify your projections.
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An 8-period moving average forecast model for Babcock Wilcox is based on an artificially constructed time series of Babcock Wilcox daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.
Given 30 days horizon, the value of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises I on the next trading day is expected to be 4.41875

Babcock Wilcox Stock Forecast Pattern

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Babcock Wilcox Forecasted Value

Market Value
4.15
February 28, 2020
0.0415
Downside
4.42
Expected Value
14.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

AICAkaike Information Criteria101.104
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1102
MADMean absolute deviation0.255
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.06
SAESum of the absolute errors13.5175
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Babcock Wilcox Enterprises I 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Volatility Measures

Babcock Wilcox Risk Indicators

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Babcock Wilcox Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Babcock Wilcox and Ampco Pittsburgh. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
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Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Babcock Wilcox to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.