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Babcock Wilcox Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

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BW -- USA Stock  

USD 4.15  0.09  2.12%

Investors can use this prediction interface to forecast Babcock Wilcox historic stock prices and determine the direction of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises I future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, looking at historical price movement exclusively is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Babcock Wilcox historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises I systematic risks associated with finding meaningful patterns of Babcock Wilcox fundamentals over time. Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Babcock Wilcox to cross-verify your projections.
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A four-period moving average forecast model for Babcock Wilcox Enterprises I is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.
Given 30 days horizon, the value of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises I on the next trading day is expected to be 4.2025

Babcock Wilcox Stock Forecast Pattern

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Babcock Wilcox Forecasted Value

Market Value
4.15
February 28, 2020
0.0415
Downside
4.20
Expected Value
14.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

AICAkaike Information Criteria107.7761
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.051
MADMean absolute deviation0.1807
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0433
SAESum of the absolute errors10.3
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Babcock Wilcox. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Babcock Wilcox Enterprises I and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Volatility Measures

Babcock Wilcox Risk Indicators

Current Sentiment - BW

Babcock Wilcox Enter Investor Sentiment

Larger part of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Babcock Wilcox Enterprises I. What is your opinion about investing in Babcock Wilcox Enterprises I? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Babcock Wilcox Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Babcock Wilcox and Ampco Pittsburgh. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
Run Pair Correlation  
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Babcock Wilcox to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Pattern Recognition module to use different pattern recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.