Air Lease Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| AL Stock | USD 48.73 0.09 0.19% |
Air Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Air Lease stock prices and determine the direction of Air Lease's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Air Lease's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Air Lease's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Air Lease's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Air Lease fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Air Lease to cross-verify your projections. Air |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Air Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Air Lease's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Air Lease's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Air Lease stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Air Lease's open interest, investors have to compare it to Air Lease's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Air Lease is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Air. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Air Lease cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Air Lease's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Air Lease's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Air Lease is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Air Lease to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Air Lease trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Check Air Lease Volatility | Backtest Air Lease | Information Ratio |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Air Lease to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Air Lease
For every potential investor in Air, whether a beginner or expert, Air Lease's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Air Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Air. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Air Lease's price trends.Air Lease Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Air Lease stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Air Lease could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air Lease by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Air Lease Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Air Lease's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Air Lease's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Air Lease Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Air Lease stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Air Lease shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Air Lease stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Air Lease entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Air Lease Risk Indicators
The analysis of Air Lease's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Air Lease's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting air stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Variance | 2.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.83 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.83 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.30) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Air Lease Investors Sentiment
The influence of Air Lease's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Air. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Air Lease's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Air. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Air can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Air Lease. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Air Lease's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Air Lease's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Air Lease's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Air Lease.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Air Lease in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Air Lease's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Air Lease options trading.
Pair Trading with Air Lease
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Air Lease position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Air Lease will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Air Stock
| 0.93 | AER | AerCap Holdings NV Financial Report 7th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against Air Stock
| 0.65 | YAYO | Yayyo Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | VSTS | Vestis | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | HTZ | Hertz Global Holdings Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | WSC | Willscot Mobile Mini Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Air Lease could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Air Lease when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Air Lease - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Air Lease to buy it.
The correlation of Air Lease is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Air Lease moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Air Lease moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Air Lease can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Air Lease to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Air Stock please use our How to buy in Air Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Air Stock analysis
When running Air Lease's price analysis, check to measure Air Lease's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air Lease is operating at the current time. Most of Air Lease's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air Lease's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air Lease's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air Lease to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Air Lease's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Lease. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Lease listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.556 | Dividend Share 0.81 | Earnings Share 5.14 | Revenue Per Share 24.188 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.191 |
The market value of Air Lease is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Lease's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Lease's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Lease's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Lease's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Lease's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air Lease is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Lease's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.