Will Johnson Outdoors continue to go mental?

This talk is geared to all Johnson Outdoors leadership as well as to investors considering exiting their position in the firm. I will break down why Johnson Outdoors leadership may should not consider a stake in the firm. This firm current daily volatility is 1.44 percent, with beta of 0.0 and alpha of 0.0 over S&P 500. What is Johnson Outdoors Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price? Attributed to normal probability distribution, the odds of Johnson Outdoors to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 90.19%. The Johnson Outdoors probability density function shows the probability of Johnson Outdoors Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days . Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Johnson Outdoors has beta of 0.0 . This indicates the returns on S&P 500 and Johnson Outdoors do not appear to be related. Additionally, it does not look like the company alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

The company currently holds zero balance in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.2 implying the stock greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Johnson Outdoors dividends can provide a clue to current valuation of the stock. The firm one year expected dividend income is about $0.25 per share. Lets now take a look at Johnson Outdoors Price to Earning. Based on latest financial disclosure the price to earning indicator of Johnson Outdoors is roughly 13.07 times. This is 47.51% lower than that of the Consumer Cyclical sector, and 75.7% lower than that of Leisure industry, The Price to Earning for all stocks is 54.49% higher than Johnson Outdoors.
Johnson Outdoors financial leverage ratio helps determine the effect of debt on the overall profitability of the company. It measures the total debt position of Johnson Outdoors, including all of Johnson Outdoors's outstanding debt obligations, and compares it with the equity. In simple terms, the high financial leverage means the cost of production, together with running the business day-to-day, is high, whereas, lower financial leverage implies lower fixed cost investment in the business and generally considered by investors to be a good sign. So if creditors own a majority of Johnson Outdoors assets, the company is considered highly leveraged. Understanding the composition and structure of overall Johnson Outdoors debt and outstanding corporate bonds gives a good idea of how risky the capital structure of a business is and if it is worth investing in it. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Understanding Johnson Total Liabilities

Johnson Outdoors liabilities are broken down into two parts on the balance sheet. These are short-term (or current) obligations and long-term debt. Johnson Outdoors has to fulfill its short-term liabilities in this reporting year and should be no more than 12 months old. Long-term debt, on the other hand, is anything beyond the 12-month payment timeframe. Common short-term liabilities found on Johnson Outdoors balance sheet include debt obligations and money owed to different Johnson Outdoors vendors, workers, and loan providers. Below is the chart of Johnson short long-term liabilities accounts currently reported on its balance sheet.
You can use Johnson Outdoors financial leverage analysis tool to get a better grip on understanding its financial position

How important is Johnson Outdoors's Liquidity

Johnson Outdoors financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Johnson Outdoors ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Johnson Outdoors financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Johnson Outdoors' owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Johnson Outdoors' financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Johnson Outdoors's total debt and its cash.

Detailed Outlook On Johnson Outdoors

The big decline in price over the last few months for Johnson Outdoorsmay raise some interest from investors. The Stock closed today at a share price of 55.54 on 21042.000 in trading volume. The company directors and management failed to add value to investors and positioning the corporation components to exploit market volatility in August. However, diversifying your holdings with Johnson Outdoors or any similar stocks can still protect your portfolios during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.4404. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. Johnson Outdoors is trading at 56.00. This is 1.27% down. Opened at 56.00. Johnson Outdoors Tangible Assets Book Value per Share is decreasing over the last 4 years. Also, Johnson Outdoors Earnings before Tax is decreasing over the last 4 years.
 2008 2009 2018 (projected)
Johnson Outdoors Interest Expense 203,000  10,181,000  9,162,900 
Johnson Outdoors Gross Profit 241,860,000  119,724,000  137,682,600 
In closing, our analysis show that Johnson Outdoors Ignores market trends. The firm is undervalued and projects odds of financial turmoil close to average for the next 2 years. Our concluding 'Buy vs. Hold vs. Sell' recommendation on the firm is Hold.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Johnson Outdoors. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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