American National is down -0.15 percent in defiance of significant market advance

This talk is geared to all American National leadership as well as to investors considering exiting their position in the firm. I will break down why American National leadership may should not consider a stake in the firm. In spite of comparatively unchanging essential indicators, American National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price uproar, may contribute to short horizon losses for the leadership. What is American National Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price? Attributed to normal probability distribution, the odds of American National to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 50.9%. The American National Insurance Com probability density function shows the probability of American National Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days . Given the investment horizon of 30 days, American National has beta of 0.3172 . This suggests as returns on market go up, American National average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding American National Insurance Com will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally, the company has an alpha of 0.0386 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0386% excess return over Russell 2000 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Vlad Skutelnik

This firm currently holds 159.58 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.7 implying the firm greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. The company has Current Ratio of 0.59 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when they are due. American National dividends can provide a clue to current valuation of the stock. The firm one year expected dividend income is about $1.64 per share.
Typically, a company's financial statements are the reports that show the financial position of the company. There are three main documents that fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include American National income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows. Potential American National investors and stakeholders use financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned to perform in the future. Although American National investors may use each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in American National's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on American National's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet, but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The goal of American National fundamental analysis is to do accurate financial forecasts. There are several possible objectives to fundamental analysis, such as projecting of American National performance into the future periods or doing a reasonable stock valuation. The intrinsic value of American National shares is the value that is considered the true value of the share. If the intrinsic value of American is higher than its market price, buying is generally recommended. If it is equal to the market price, it is recommended to hold; and if it is less than the market price, then one should sell all shares American National. Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

How important is American National's Liquidity

American National financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance American National Insurance ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. American National financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to American National's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of American National's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between American National's total debt and its cash.

Breaking down American National Indicators

American National has beta of 0.7. As returns on market increase, American National returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding American National will be expected to be smaller as well. The current investor indifference towards the small price fluctuations of American National could raise concerns from investors as the firm closed today at a share price of 118.6 on 20488.000 in volume. The company management did not add any value to American National investors in October. However, most investors can still diversify their portfolios with American National to hedge your portfolio against high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.2083. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. American National is selling for under 118.73. That is 0.15 percent down. Day high is 119.81. American National Invested Capital is decreasing over the last 4 years. Further, American National Cash and Equivalents is increasing over the last 4 years.
 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (projected)
Cash and Equivalents Turnover 15.10  13.42  10.26  10.33  15.11 
PPandE Turnover 26.07  27.20  29.42  29.53  33.68 
All things considered, we believe that at this point American National is very steady with very small probability of distress within the next 2 years. Our current buy or sell advice on the firm is Strong Hold.

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Editorial Staff

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