Toll Brothers Stock Analysis

TOL Stock  USD 119.52  5.71  5.02%   
Toll Brothers is overvalued with Real Value of 102.93 and Target Price of 92.14. The main objective of Toll Brothers stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Toll Brothers is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Toll Brothers' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Toll Brothers' performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Toll Brothers' stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Toll Brothers stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Toll Brothers is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Toll Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Toll Brothers' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Toll Brothers. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.

Toll Stock Analysis Notes

About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.78. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Toll Brothers has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.94. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.92. The firm last dividend was issued on the 4th of April 2024. Toll Brothers had 2:1 split on the 11th of July 2005. Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania. Toll Brothers operates under Residential Construction classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 5100 people. To find out more about Toll Brothers contact Douglas Yearley at 215 938 8000 or learn more at https://www.tollbrothers.com.

Toll Brothers Quarterly Total Revenue

1.95 Billion

Toll Brothers Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Toll Brothers' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Toll Brothers or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Toll Brothers is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 19th of April 2024 Toll Brothers paid $ 0.23 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Existing Home Sales Dwindles in March Whats Causing It

Toll Brothers Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Toll Brothers to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Toll Brothers previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
20th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
28th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
3rd of December 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of October 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of October 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Toll Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Toll Brothers' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
1996-08-22
1996-07-310.10.110.0110 
2013-05-22
2013-04-300.070.090.0228 
2000-05-24
2000-04-300.170.190.0211 
View All Earnings Estimates

Toll Brothers Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Toll Brothers stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Construction Idea
Construction
USA Equities from Construction industry as classified by Fama & French

Toll Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Toll Brothers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Toll Brothers backward and forwards among themselves. Toll Brothers' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Toll Brothers' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.9 M
Bamco Inc2023-12-31
1.8 M
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
1.7 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
1.6 M
Lsv Asset Management2023-12-31
1.6 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
1.4 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
1.3 M
Fmr Inc2023-12-31
1.1 M
Allianz Asset Management Ag2023-12-31
1.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
11.3 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
10.4 M
Note, although Toll Brothers' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Toll Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 11.86 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Toll Brothers's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Toll Brothers's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Toll Profitablity

Toll Brothers' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Toll Brothers' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Toll Brothers is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Toll Brothers' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Toll Brothers' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Toll Brothers' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.14 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.16 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.16 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.13 
Return On Capital Employed 0.21  0.13 
Return On Assets 0.11  0.13 
Return On Equity 0.23  0.17 

Management Efficiency

Toll Brothers has Return on Asset of 0.0943 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0943 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.2143 %, implying that it generated $0.2143 on every 100 dollars invested. Toll Brothers' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Toll Brothers manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Toll Brothers' Return On Tangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is expected to rise to 0.13 this year, although the value of Return On Capital Employed will most likely fall to 0.13. At this time, Toll Brothers' Return On Tangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Debt To Assets is expected to rise to 0.42 this year, although the value of Net Tangible Assets will most likely fall to about 4.8 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 55.60  58.38 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 55.73  58.52 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 6.23  11.07 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.32  1.25 
Enterprise Value Multiple 6.23  11.07 
Price Fair Value 1.32  1.25 
Enterprise Value6.9 B7.2 B
The analysis of Toll Brothers' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Toll Brothers' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Toll Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0082
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0082
Forward Dividend Rate
0.92
Beta
1.656

Technical Drivers

As of the 23rd of April, Toll Brothers has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0782, coefficient of variation of 862.76, and Semi Deviation of 2.14. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Toll Brothers, as well as the relationship between them. In other words, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past prices and volume data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Toll Brothers, which can be compared to its competition. Please validate Toll Brothers standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Toll Brothers is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 119.52 per share. Given that Toll Brothers has jensen alpha of 0.0487, we advise you to double-check Toll Brothers's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Toll Brothers Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Toll Brothers middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Toll Brothers. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Toll Brothers Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Toll Brothers insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Toll Brothers' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Toll Brothers insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Toll Brothers Predictive Daily Indicators

Toll Brothers intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Toll Brothers stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Toll Brothers Corporate Filings

F4
15th of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
3rd of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
21st of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
18th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
12th of March 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
5th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
4th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
1st of March 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify

Toll Brothers Forecast Models

Toll Brothers' time-series forecasting models are one of many Toll Brothers' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Toll Brothers' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Toll Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Toll Brothers prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Toll shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Toll Brothers. By using and applying Toll Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Toll entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.21  0.11 
Operating Profit Margin 0.20  0.12 
Net Profit Margin 0.16  0.17 
Gross Profit Margin 0.30  0.24 

Current Toll Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Toll analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Toll analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
92.14Buy20Odds
Toll Brothers current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Toll analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Toll stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Toll Brothers, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Toll conference calls.
Toll Analyst Advice Details

Toll Stock Analysis Indicators

Toll Brothers stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Toll Brothers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Toll Brothers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Toll Brothers stock analysis, traders can identify Toll Brothers position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.4 B
Long Term Debt2.9 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111 M
Total Stockholder Equity6.8 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-150.6 M
Tax Provision470.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.324
Property Plant And Equipment Net324 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B
Cash1.3 B
Accounts Payable597.6 M
Net Debt1.6 B
50 Day M A117.113
Total Current Liabilities2.9 B
Other Operating Expenses8.3 B
Non Current Assets Total1.3 B
Forward Price Earnings9.0662
Non Currrent Assets Other97.6 M
Stock Based Compensation24.8 M
When determining whether Toll Brothers is a strong investment it is important to analyze Toll Brothers' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Toll Brothers' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Toll Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Toll Brothers. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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Is Toll Brothers' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toll Brothers. If investors know Toll will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Toll Brothers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.324
Dividend Share
0.84
Earnings Share
12.92
Revenue Per Share
93.707
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.094
The market value of Toll Brothers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Toll that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Toll Brothers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Toll Brothers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Toll Brothers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Toll Brothers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toll Brothers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toll Brothers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toll Brothers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.