Walgreens Boots Alliance Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
WBA Stock | USD 21.69 0.67 3.19% |
Walgreens | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Walgreens Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis
Walgreens Boots' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Gross Profit | 28.3B | 27.1B | 31.1B | 32.7B | Total Revenue | 132.7B | 139.1B | 159.9B | 167.9B |
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Walgreens Boots Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 31% |
Most of Walgreens Boots' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Walgreens Boots Alliance is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Walgreens Boots probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Walgreens Boots odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Walgreens Boots Alliance financial health.
Is Walgreens Boots' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Walgreens Boots. If investors know Walgreens will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Walgreens Boots listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | Dividend Share 1.92 | Earnings Share 0.66 | Revenue Per Share 165.003 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.1 |
The market value of Walgreens Boots Alliance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Walgreens that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Walgreens Boots' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Walgreens Boots' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Walgreens Boots' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Walgreens Boots' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walgreens Boots' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Walgreens Boots is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walgreens Boots' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Walgreens Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Walgreens Boots is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Walgreens Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Walgreens Boots' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Walgreens Boots' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Walgreens Boots' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Walgreens Boots Alliance has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 31.0%. This is 28.39% lower than that of the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector and significantly higher than that of the Consumer Staples industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 22.17% higher than that of the company.
Walgreens Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Walgreens Boots' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Walgreens Boots could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Walgreens Boots by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Walgreens Boots is rated below average in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Walgreens Boots Main Bankruptcy Drivers
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Return On Assets | 0.005231 | 0.0163 | 0.0481 | (0.0319) | (0.0367) | (0.0348) | |
Asset Turnover | 1.6 | 1.63 | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.66 | 2.88 | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.2 | 0.21 | 0.19 | 0.3 | |
Net Debt | 39.6B | 32.2B | 34.1B | 32.8B | 37.7B | 39.6B | |
Total Current Liabilities | 27.1B | 22.1B | 22.6B | 24.5B | 28.2B | 29.6B | |
Non Current Liabilities Total | 39.0B | 35.4B | 37.1B | 43.6B | 50.1B | 52.7B | |
Total Assets | 87.2B | 81.3B | 90.1B | 96.6B | 111.1B | 116.7B | |
Total Current Assets | 18.1B | 15.8B | 16.9B | 15.5B | 17.8B | 9.2B | |
Total Cash From Operating Activities | 5.5B | 5.6B | 3.9B | 2.3B | 2.6B | 3.0B |
Walgreens Boots ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Walgreens Boots' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Walgreens Boots' managers, analysts, and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
Walgreens Fundamentals
Return On Equity | 4.0E-4 | ||||
Return On Asset | 0.0132 | ||||
Profit Margin | 0 % | ||||
Operating Margin | (0.0008) % | ||||
Current Valuation | 51.08 B | ||||
Shares Outstanding | 862.38 M | ||||
Shares Owned By Insiders | 17.30 % | ||||
Shares Owned By Institutions | 62.12 % | ||||
Number Of Shares Shorted | 31.16 M | ||||
Price To Earning | 8.10 X | ||||
Price To Book | 0.93 X | ||||
Price To Sales | 0.13 X | ||||
Revenue | 139.08 B | ||||
Gross Profit | 27.07 B | ||||
EBITDA | (2.58 B) | ||||
Net Income | (3.53 B) | ||||
Cash And Equivalents | 2.48 B | ||||
Cash Per Share | 2.87 X | ||||
Total Debt | 33.53 B | ||||
Debt To Equity | 1.20 % | ||||
Current Ratio | 0.75 X | ||||
Book Value Per Share | 22.59 X | ||||
Cash Flow From Operations | 2.26 B | ||||
Short Ratio | 2.79 X | ||||
Earnings Per Share | 0.66 X | ||||
Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.33 X | ||||
Target Price | 23.78 | ||||
Number Of Employees | 330 K | ||||
Beta | 0.72 | ||||
Market Capitalization | 18.78 B | ||||
Total Asset | 96.63 B | ||||
Retained Earnings | 33.06 B | ||||
Working Capital | (9.03 B) | ||||
Current Asset | 25.88 B | ||||
Current Liabilities | 17.01 B | ||||
Z Score | 2.05 | ||||
Annual Yield | 0.05 % | ||||
Five Year Return | 3.54 % | ||||
Net Asset | 96.63 B | ||||
Last Dividend Paid | 1.92 |
About Walgreens Boots Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Walgreens Boots Alliance's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Walgreens Boots using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Walgreens Boots Alliance based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. operates as an integrated healthcare, pharmacy, and retailer in the United States , the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. was founded in 1901 and is based in Deerfield, Illinois. Walgreens Boots operates under Pharmaceutical Retailers classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 200000 people.
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Check out Walgreens Boots Piotroski F Score and Walgreens Boots Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Walgreens Boots Alliance information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Walgreens Boots' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
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Is Walgreens Boots' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Walgreens Boots. If investors know Walgreens will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Walgreens Boots listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | Dividend Share 1.92 | Earnings Share 0.66 | Revenue Per Share 165.003 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.1 |
The market value of Walgreens Boots Alliance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Walgreens that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Walgreens Boots' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Walgreens Boots' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Walgreens Boots' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Walgreens Boots' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walgreens Boots' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Walgreens Boots is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walgreens Boots' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.