Umb Financial Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

UMBF Stock  USD 86.99  1.38  1.61%   
UMB Financial's odds of distress is under 6% at the present time. It has tiny probability of undergoing some form of financial straits in the near future. UMB Financial's Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting UMB Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the UMB balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out UMB Financial Piotroski F Score and UMB Financial Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in UMB Stock please use our How to Invest in UMB Financial guide.
  

UMB Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

UMB Financial's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Gross Profit1.2B221.9M2.4B2.5B
Total Revenue1.2B221.9M2.4B2.5B

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current UMB Financial Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 6%  
Most of UMB Financial's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, UMB Financial is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of UMB Financial probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting UMB Financial odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of UMB Financial financial health.
Is UMB Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of UMB Financial. If investors know UMB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about UMB Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.30)
Dividend Share
1.53
Earnings Share
7.18
Revenue Per Share
29.291
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.025
The market value of UMB Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of UMB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of UMB Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is UMB Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because UMB Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect UMB Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UMB Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UMB Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UMB Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

UMB Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for UMB Financial is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of UMB Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since UMB Financial's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of UMB Financial's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of UMB Financial's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, UMB Financial has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 6.0%. This is 87.98% lower than that of the Banks sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 84.94% higher than that of the company.

UMB Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses UMB Financial's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of UMB Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UMB Financial by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
UMB Financial is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

UMB Financial Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.0091710.0086480.0082690.01120.0079530.006407
Asset Turnover0.03870.03680.0280.0057620.05410.0524
Net Debt(1.6B)(3.3B)(9.0B)(1.3B)(1.3B)(1.4B)
Total Current Liabilities8.9B12.2B19.6B16.3B16.4B17.3B
Non Current Liabilities Total97.5M269.6M271.5M381.3M24.5B25.7B
Total Assets26.6B33.1B42.7B38.5B44.0B46.2B
Total Current Assets9.3B13.0B21.4B420K6.1B7.5B
Total Cash From Operating Activities341.4M373.6M534.1M769.6M472.6M496.2M

UMB Fundamentals

About UMB Financial Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze UMB Financial's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of UMB Financial using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of UMB Financial based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
UMB Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for the UMB Bank that provides various banking and other financial services. The company was founded in 1913 and is headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri. Ump Financial operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 3529 people.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether UMB Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze UMB Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact UMB Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding UMB Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out UMB Financial Piotroski F Score and UMB Financial Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in UMB Stock please use our How to Invest in UMB Financial guide.
Note that the UMB Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other UMB Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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When running UMB Financial's price analysis, check to measure UMB Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UMB Financial is operating at the current time. Most of UMB Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UMB Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UMB Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UMB Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is UMB Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of UMB Financial. If investors know UMB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about UMB Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.30)
Dividend Share
1.53
Earnings Share
7.18
Revenue Per Share
29.291
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.025
The market value of UMB Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of UMB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of UMB Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is UMB Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because UMB Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect UMB Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UMB Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UMB Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UMB Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.