Steel Dynamics Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

STLD Stock  USD 136.07  2.86  2.06%   
Steel Dynamics' risk of distress is below 2% at the present time. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial hardship in the next two years. Steel Dynamics' Probability of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Steel Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Steel balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Steel Dynamics Piotroski F Score and Steel Dynamics Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Steel Stock refer to our How to Trade Steel Stock guide.
  
The current year's Market Cap is expected to grow to about 7.4 B. The current year's Enterprise Value is expected to grow to about 5.8 B

Steel Dynamics Company probability of distress Analysis

Steel Dynamics' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Steel Dynamics Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 2%  
Most of Steel Dynamics' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Steel Dynamics is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Steel Dynamics probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Steel Dynamics odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Steel Dynamics financial health.
Is Steel Dynamics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Steel Dynamics. If investors know Steel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Steel Dynamics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.28)
Dividend Share
1.7
Earnings Share
14.64
Revenue Per Share
112.85
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
The market value of Steel Dynamics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Steel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Steel Dynamics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Steel Dynamics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Steel Dynamics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Steel Dynamics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Steel Dynamics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Steel Dynamics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Steel Dynamics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Steel Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Steel Dynamics is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Steel Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Steel Dynamics' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Steel Dynamics' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Steel Dynamics' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Steel Dynamics has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 2.0%. This is 95.49% lower than that of the Metals & Mining sector and 95.54% lower than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 94.98% higher than that of the company.

Steel Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Steel Dynamics' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Steel Dynamics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Steel Dynamics by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Steel Dynamics is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Steel Dynamics Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.160.08110.05940.260.270.17
Asset Turnover1.531.271.041.471.570.83
Net Debt1.4B1.7B1.9B1.4B1.8B1.4B
Total Current Liabilities1.0B1.3B2.2B2.0B2.3B2.4B
Non Current Liabilities Total3.2B3.7B4.0B4.0B3.8B2.2B
Total Assets8.3B9.3B12.5B14.2B15.0B15.7B
Total Current Assets4.3B4.3B6.9B7.6B6.8B7.1B
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.4B987.0M2.2B4.5B3.5B3.7B

Steel Dynamics ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Steel Dynamics' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Steel Dynamics' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

Steel Fundamentals

About Steel Dynamics Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Steel Dynamics's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Steel Dynamics using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Steel Dynamics based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Steel Dynamics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Steel Dynamics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Steel Dynamics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Steel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Steel Dynamics Piotroski F Score and Steel Dynamics Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Steel Stock refer to our How to Trade Steel Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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When running Steel Dynamics' price analysis, check to measure Steel Dynamics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Steel Dynamics is operating at the current time. Most of Steel Dynamics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Steel Dynamics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Steel Dynamics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Steel Dynamics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Steel Dynamics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Steel Dynamics. If investors know Steel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Steel Dynamics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.28)
Dividend Share
1.7
Earnings Share
14.64
Revenue Per Share
112.85
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
The market value of Steel Dynamics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Steel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Steel Dynamics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Steel Dynamics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Steel Dynamics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Steel Dynamics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Steel Dynamics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Steel Dynamics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Steel Dynamics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.