Sirius Xm Holding Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

SIRI Stock  USD 3.16  0.03  0.96%   
Sirius XM's threat of distress is under 33% at the present time. It has slight chance of undergoing some form of financial straits in the near future. Probability of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Sirius balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Sirius XM Piotroski F Score and Sirius XM Altman Z Score analysis.
  
The current Market Cap is estimated to decrease to about 23.3 M. Enterprise Value is estimated to decrease to about 21.2 M

Sirius XM Holding Company probability of distress Analysis

Sirius XM's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Sirius XM Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 33%  
Most of Sirius XM's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Sirius XM Holding is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Sirius XM probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Sirius XM odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Sirius XM Holding financial health.
Is Sirius XM's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sirius XM. If investors know Sirius will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sirius XM listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
Dividend Share
0.099
Earnings Share
0.32
Revenue Per Share
2.321
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.002
The market value of Sirius XM Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sirius that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sirius XM's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sirius XM's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sirius XM's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sirius XM's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sirius XM's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sirius XM is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sirius XM's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Sirius Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Sirius XM is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Sirius Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Sirius XM's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Sirius XM's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Sirius XM's interrelated accounts and indicators.
-0.160.59-0.180.660.690.590.740.710.98-0.850.020.740.760.750.54-0.330.58-0.53-0.660.28-0.30.060.390.33-0.14
-0.16-0.81-0.58-0.68-0.740.450.32-0.55-0.180.08-0.18-0.75-0.42-0.03-0.680.94-0.840.82-0.06-0.620.28-0.51-0.55-0.670.57
0.59-0.810.430.950.970.00.150.910.59-0.520.350.890.660.410.89-0.910.93-0.96-0.440.59-0.350.590.740.72-0.71
-0.18-0.580.430.260.24-0.59-0.520.18-0.210.430.10.37-0.04-0.220.37-0.60.52-0.57-0.040.46-0.220.230.460.31-0.35
0.66-0.680.950.260.970.240.190.960.66-0.590.410.820.790.370.96-0.850.86-0.85-0.390.46-0.160.650.820.78-0.78
0.69-0.740.970.240.970.130.250.940.7-0.660.310.880.730.510.88-0.860.88-0.91-0.440.56-0.320.560.720.69-0.68
0.590.450.0-0.590.240.130.630.30.55-0.550.180.030.520.240.20.24-0.050.18-0.3-0.330.240.10.130.16-0.07
0.740.320.15-0.520.190.250.630.330.71-0.830.030.260.320.77-0.010.240.07-0.09-0.76-0.04-0.33-0.14-0.16-0.120.2
0.71-0.550.910.180.960.940.30.330.71-0.680.460.760.70.490.9-0.750.79-0.8-0.50.4-0.240.610.830.63-0.76
0.98-0.180.59-0.210.660.70.550.710.71-0.86-0.040.730.750.780.54-0.340.55-0.52-0.610.26-0.360.00.380.3-0.12
-0.850.08-0.520.43-0.59-0.66-0.55-0.83-0.68-0.86-0.09-0.53-0.57-0.86-0.390.2-0.370.440.71-0.230.34-0.14-0.2-0.180.18
0.02-0.180.350.10.410.310.180.030.46-0.04-0.090.050.25-0.220.44-0.260.25-0.18-0.020.00.420.780.460.45-0.71
0.74-0.750.890.370.820.880.030.260.760.73-0.530.050.720.490.74-0.810.95-0.89-0.430.6-0.450.290.570.63-0.38
0.76-0.420.66-0.040.790.730.520.320.70.75-0.570.250.720.280.77-0.570.7-0.53-0.210.260.050.420.570.74-0.46
0.75-0.030.41-0.220.370.510.240.770.490.78-0.86-0.220.490.280.16-0.10.27-0.46-0.830.35-0.64-0.230.03-0.150.11
0.54-0.680.890.370.960.880.2-0.010.90.54-0.390.440.740.770.16-0.870.83-0.78-0.220.36-0.050.680.920.83-0.84
-0.330.94-0.91-0.6-0.85-0.860.240.24-0.75-0.340.2-0.26-0.81-0.57-0.1-0.87-0.910.90.09-0.590.22-0.59-0.78-0.770.73
0.58-0.840.930.520.860.88-0.050.070.790.55-0.370.250.950.70.270.83-0.91-0.92-0.310.6-0.320.530.710.75-0.6
-0.530.82-0.96-0.57-0.85-0.910.18-0.09-0.8-0.520.44-0.18-0.89-0.53-0.46-0.780.9-0.920.48-0.710.47-0.46-0.65-0.60.58
-0.66-0.06-0.44-0.04-0.39-0.44-0.3-0.76-0.5-0.610.71-0.02-0.43-0.21-0.83-0.220.09-0.310.48-0.280.550.04-0.110.040.05
0.28-0.620.590.460.460.56-0.33-0.040.40.26-0.230.00.60.260.350.36-0.590.6-0.71-0.28-0.240.150.250.23-0.23
-0.30.28-0.35-0.22-0.16-0.320.24-0.33-0.24-0.360.340.42-0.450.05-0.64-0.050.22-0.320.470.55-0.240.250.00.2-0.13
0.06-0.510.590.230.650.560.1-0.140.610.0-0.140.780.290.42-0.230.68-0.590.53-0.460.040.150.250.630.74-0.91
0.39-0.550.740.460.820.720.13-0.160.830.38-0.20.460.570.570.030.92-0.780.71-0.65-0.110.250.00.630.66-0.84
0.33-0.670.720.310.780.690.16-0.120.630.3-0.180.450.630.74-0.150.83-0.770.75-0.60.040.230.20.740.66-0.7
-0.140.57-0.71-0.35-0.78-0.68-0.070.2-0.76-0.120.18-0.71-0.38-0.460.11-0.840.73-0.60.580.05-0.23-0.13-0.91-0.84-0.7
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Sirius XM Holding has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 33.0%. This is 36.07% lower than that of the Media sector and significantly higher than that of the Communication Services industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 17.15% higher than that of the company.

Sirius Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Sirius XM's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Sirius XM could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sirius XM by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Sirius XM is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Sirius XM Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.07780.140.0820.01270.130.12
Asset Turnover0.70.780.850.90.860.91
Net Debt8.2B8.9B9.1B9.8B9.3B9.8B
Total Current Liabilities3.3B3.2B3.0B3.0B3.2B1.7B
Non Current Liabilities Total8.6B9.5B9.9B10.4B9.7B10.2B
Total Assets11.1B10.3B10.3B10.0B10.4B5.7B
Total Current Assets1.0B967M1.2B1.0B1.3B795.0M
Total Cash From Operating Activities2.0B2.0B2.0B2.0B1.9B1.9B

Sirius XM ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Sirius XM's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Sirius XM's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

Sirius Fundamentals

About Sirius XM Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Sirius XM Holding's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Sirius XM using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sirius XM Holding based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Sirius XM Holding offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Sirius XM's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sirius Xm Holding Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sirius Xm Holding Stock:

Complementary Tools for Sirius Stock analysis

When running Sirius XM's price analysis, check to measure Sirius XM's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sirius XM is operating at the current time. Most of Sirius XM's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sirius XM's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sirius XM's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sirius XM to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Is Sirius XM's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sirius XM. If investors know Sirius will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sirius XM listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
Dividend Share
0.099
Earnings Share
0.32
Revenue Per Share
2.321
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.002
The market value of Sirius XM Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sirius that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sirius XM's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sirius XM's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sirius XM's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sirius XM's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sirius XM's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sirius XM is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sirius XM's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.