International Business Machines Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

IBM Stock  USD 190.80  2.30  1.22%   
International Business' odds of distress is under 12% at the moment. It has tiny probability of undergoing some form of financial hardship in the near future. International Business' Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting International Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the International balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out International Business Piotroski F Score and International Business Altman Z Score analysis.
  

International Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

International Business' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Gross Profit31.5B32.7B34.3B40.3B
Total Revenue57.4B60.5B61.9B86.6B

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current International Business Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 12%  
Most of International Business' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, International Business Machines is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of International Business probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting International Business odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of International Business Machines financial health.
Is International Business' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of International Business. If investors know International will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about International Business listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.2
Dividend Share
6.63
Earnings Share
8.14
Revenue Per Share
67.888
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.041
The market value of International Business is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of International that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of International Business' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is International Business' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because International Business' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect International Business' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between International Business' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Business is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Business' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

International Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for International Business is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of International Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since International Business' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of International Business' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of International Business' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, International Business Machines has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 12.0%. This is 70.34% lower than that of the IT Services sector and 62.73% lower than that of the Information Technology industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 69.87% higher than that of the company.

International Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses International Business' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of International Business could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing International Business by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
International Business is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

International Business Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.0620.03580.04350.01290.05550.0565
Asset Turnover0.650.510.470.430.480.46
Net Debt56.1B49.7B48.5B46.1B46.8B25.1B
Total Current Liabilities37.7B39.9B33.6B31.5B34.1B37.3B
Non Current Liabilities Total93.5B95.4B79.4B73.7B78.5B47.9B
Total Assets152.2B156.0B132.0B127.2B135.2B112.2B
Total Current Assets38.4B39.2B29.5B29.1B31.9B45.9B
Total Cash From Operating Activities14.8B18.2B12.8B10.4B13.4B15.0B

International Business ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, International Business' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to International Business' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

International Fundamentals

About International Business Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze International Business Machines's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of International Business using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of International Business Machines based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
International Business Machines Corporation provides integrated solutions and services worldwide. International Business Machines Corporation was incorporated in 1911 and is headquartered in Armonk, New York. International Business operates under Information Technology Services classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 282100 people.

International Business Investors Sentiment

The influence of International Business' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in International. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to International Business' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in International. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding International can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around International Business Machines. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
International Business' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for International Business' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average International Business' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on International Business.

International Business Implied Volatility

    
  26.15  
International Business' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of International Business Machines stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if International Business' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that International Business stock will not fluctuate a lot when International Business' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards International Business in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, International Business' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from International Business options trading.

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When determining whether International Business is a strong investment it is important to analyze International Business' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact International Business' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding International Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out International Business Piotroski F Score and International Business Altman Z Score analysis.
Note that the International Business information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other International Business' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

Complementary Tools for International Stock analysis

When running International Business' price analysis, check to measure International Business' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy International Business is operating at the current time. Most of International Business' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of International Business' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move International Business' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of International Business to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is International Business' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of International Business. If investors know International will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about International Business listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.2
Dividend Share
6.63
Earnings Share
8.14
Revenue Per Share
67.888
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.041
The market value of International Business is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of International that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of International Business' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is International Business' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because International Business' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect International Business' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between International Business' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Business is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Business' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.