Etsy Inc Stock Current Valuation
| ETSY Stock | USD 66.87 1.48 2.17% |
Valuation analysis of Etsy Inc helps investors to measure Etsy's intrinsic value by examining its available valuation indicators, including the cash flow records, the balance sheet account changes and income statement patterns. Enterprise Value Over EBITDA is likely to drop to 22.80 in 2024. Enterprise Value Multiple is likely to drop to 22.80 in 2024. Fundamental drivers impacting Etsy's valuation include:
Price Book 21.4211 | Enterprise Value 9.4 B | Enterprise Value Ebitda 23.0646 | Price Sales 2.8908 | Forward PE 18.622 |
Undervalued
Today
Please note that Etsy's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Etsy Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Etsy's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for Etsy Inc is useful when determining the fair value of the Etsy stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Etsy. Since Etsy is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Etsy Stock. However, Etsy's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 66.87 | Real 80.53 | Target 98.21 | Hype 66.92 | Naive 67.52 |
The real value of Etsy Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Etsy Inc Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Etsy's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Etsy's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Etsy's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Etsy Inc helps investors to forecast how Etsy stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Etsy more accurately as focusing exclusively on Etsy's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Etsy Inc Company Current Valuation Analysis
Etsy's Enterprise Value is a firm valuation proxy that approximates the current market value of a company. It is typically used to determine the takeover or merger price of a firm. Unlike Market Cap, this measure takes into account the entire liquid asset, outstanding debt, and exotic equity instruments that the company has on its balance sheet. When a takeover occurs, the parent company will have to assume the target company's liabilities but will take possession of all cash and cash equivalents.
Current Etsy Current Valuation | 9.38 B |
Most of Etsy's fundamental indicators, such as Current Valuation, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Etsy Inc is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Etsy Current Valuation Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Etsy is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Etsy Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Current Valuation. Since Etsy's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Etsy's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Etsy's interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
Etsy Current Valuation Historical Pattern
Today, most investors in Etsy Stock are looking for potential investment opportunities by analyzing not only static indicators but also various Etsy's growth ratios. Consistent increases or drops in fundamental ratios usually indicate a possible pattern that can be successfully translated into profits. However, when comparing two companies, knowing each company's current valuation growth rates may not be enough to decide which company is a better investment. That's why investors frequently use a static breakdown of Etsy current valuation as a starting point in their analysis.
Etsy Current Valuation |
| Timeline |
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.
| Competition |
In accordance with the recently published financial statements, Etsy Inc has a Current Valuation of 9.38 B. This is 48.16% lower than that of the Internet & Direct Marketing Retail sector and significantly higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The current valuation for all United States stocks is 43.55% higher than that of the company.
Etsy Current Valuation Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Etsy's direct or indirect competition against its Current Valuation to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Etsy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Etsy by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Etsy is currently under evaluation in current valuation category among related companies.
Etsy Current Valuation Drivers
We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Etsy from analyzing Etsy's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Etsy's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Etsy's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Market Cap | 5.3B | 21.6B | 27.9B | 15.2B | 9.9B | 8.0B | |
| Enterprise Value | 5.7B | 21.4B | 29.5B | 16.7B | 11.4B | 8.4B |
Etsy Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -12.24 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0883 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 9.38 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 117.29 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.86 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.09 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 15.28 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 44.71 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 21.42 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.89 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.75 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.82 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 475.25 M | ||||
| Net Income | 307.57 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.01 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 7.95 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.39 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 4.11 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.93 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (4.57) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 705.51 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 4.55 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.24 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.11 X | ||||
| Target Price | 79.44 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 2.42 K | ||||
| Beta | 2.03 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 7.97 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.69 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (1.36 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 859.66 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 359.05 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 80.12 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 2.69 B |
About Etsy Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Etsy Inc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Etsy using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Etsy Inc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Etsy Investors Sentiment
The influence of Etsy's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Etsy. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Etsy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Etsy. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Etsy can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Etsy Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Etsy's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Etsy's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Etsy's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Etsy.
Etsy Implied Volatility | 66.41 |
Etsy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Etsy Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Etsy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Etsy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Etsy's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Etsy in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Etsy's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Etsy options trading.
Pair Trading with Etsy
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Etsy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Etsy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Etsy Stock
| 0.63 | JD | JD Inc Adr Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.58 | CROX | Crocs Inc Earnings Call Today | PairCorr |
| 0.57 | GM | General Motors Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | BBY | Best Buy Financial Report 23rd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | AEO | American Eagle Outfitters Financial Report 22nd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Etsy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Etsy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Etsy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Etsy Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Etsy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Etsy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Etsy Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Etsy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Etsy Piotroski F Score and Etsy Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Etsy Stock analysis
When running Etsy's price analysis, check to measure Etsy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Etsy is operating at the current time. Most of Etsy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Etsy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Etsy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Etsy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Etsy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Etsy. If investors know Etsy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Etsy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Earnings Share 2.24 | Revenue Per Share 22.435 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.043 | Return On Assets 0.0883 |
The market value of Etsy Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Etsy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Etsy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Etsy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Etsy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Etsy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Etsy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Etsy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Etsy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.