Chevron Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

CVX Stock  USD 155.41  0.14  0.09%   
Chevron Corp's odds of distress is less than 5% at this time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial distress in the next 24 months. Chance Of Bankruptcy shows the probability of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Chevron balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Chevron Corp Piotroski F Score and Chevron Corp Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Chevron Stock please use our How to Invest in Chevron Corp guide.
  

Chevron Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Chevron Corp's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total31.4B23.3B26.1B20.5B
Total Assets239.5B257.7B261.6B171.8B

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Chevron Corp Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 5%  
Most of Chevron Corp's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Chevron Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Chevron Corp probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Chevron Corp odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Chevron Corp financial health.
Is Chevron Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chevron Corp. If investors know Chevron will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chevron Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.64)
Dividend Share
6.04
Earnings Share
11.36
Revenue Per Share
104.004
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
The market value of Chevron Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chevron that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chevron Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chevron Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chevron Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chevron Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chevron Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chevron Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chevron Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Chevron Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Chevron Corp is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Chevron Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Chevron Corp's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Chevron Corp's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Chevron Corp's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Chevron Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 89.63% lower than that of the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector and 88.4% lower than that of the Energy industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.

Chevron Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Chevron Corp's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Chevron Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chevron Corp by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Chevron Corp is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Chevron Corp Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.0123(0.0232)0.06520.140.08170.0758
Asset Turnover0.590.390.650.910.771.12
Gross Profit Margin0.280.220.260.310.170.16
Net Debt21.3B38.7B25.7B5.7B17.6B12.4B
Total Current Liabilities26.5B22.2B26.8B34.2B32.3B25.7B
Non Current Liabilities Total23.4B42.3B30.7B21.0B67.4B70.8B
Total Assets237.4B239.8B239.5B257.7B261.6B171.8B
Total Current Assets28.3B26.1B33.7B50.3B41.1B32.1B
Total Cash From Operating Activities27.3B10.6B29.2B49.6B35.6B21.7B

Chevron Corp ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Chevron Corp's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Chevron Corp's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

Chevron Fundamentals

About Chevron Corp Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Chevron Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Chevron Corp using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chevron Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Chevron Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in integrated energy and chemicals operations worldwide. Chevron Corporation was founded in 1879 and is based in San Ramon, California. Chevron Corp operates under Oil Gas Integrated classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 42595 people.

Chevron Corp Investors Sentiment

The influence of Chevron Corp's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Chevron. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Chevron Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Chevron. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Chevron can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Chevron Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Chevron Corp's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Chevron Corp's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Chevron Corp's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Chevron Corp.

Chevron Corp Implied Volatility

    
  22.4  
Chevron Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Chevron Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Chevron Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Chevron Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Chevron Corp's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Chevron Corp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Chevron Corp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Chevron Corp options trading.

Pair Trading with Chevron Corp

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Chevron Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Chevron Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Chevron Stock

  0.74BP BP PLC ADR Financial Report 7th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.62SU Suncor Energy Financial Report 13th of May 2024 PairCorr

Moving against Chevron Stock

  0.46EQNR Equinor ASA ADR Financial Report 2nd of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.43TGS Transportadora De Gas Financial Report 13th of May 2024 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Chevron Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Chevron Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Chevron Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Chevron Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Chevron Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Chevron Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Chevron Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Chevron Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Chevron Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Chevron Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Chevron Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Chevron Corp Stock:

Complementary Tools for Chevron Stock analysis

When running Chevron Corp's price analysis, check to measure Chevron Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chevron Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Chevron Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chevron Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chevron Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chevron Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Chevron Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chevron Corp. If investors know Chevron will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chevron Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.64)
Dividend Share
6.04
Earnings Share
11.36
Revenue Per Share
104.004
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
The market value of Chevron Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chevron that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chevron Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chevron Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chevron Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chevron Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chevron Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chevron Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chevron Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.