Crocs Inc Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| C7N Stock | EUR 111.46 1.62 1.43% |
Crocs |
Crocs Inc Company probability of distress Analysis
Crocs' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Crocs Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 9% |
Most of Crocs' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Crocs Inc is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Crocs probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Crocs odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Crocs Inc financial health.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Crocs Inc has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 9.0%. This is much higher than that of the Other sector and significantly higher than that of the Other industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Germany stocks is notably lower than that of the firm.
Crocs Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Crocs' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Crocs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Crocs by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Crocs is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Crocs Fundamentals
| Current Valuation | 8.21 B | |||
| Price To Book | 9.07 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.78 X | |||
| Revenue | 3.55 B | |||
| EBITDA | 893.89 M | |||
| Net Income | 540.16 M | |||
| Total Debt | 2.3 B | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 603.14 M | |||
| Number Of Employees | 16 | |||
| Market Capitalization | 8.27 B | |||
| Total Asset | 4.5 B | |||
| Z Score | 1.8 | |||
| Net Asset | 4.5 B |
About Crocs Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Crocs Inc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Crocs using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Crocs Inc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Crocs in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Crocs' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Crocs options trading.
Pair Trading with Crocs
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Crocs position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Crocs will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Crocs Stock
| 0.72 | MSF | Microsoft Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against Crocs Stock
| 0.95 | DBPD | Xtrackers ShortDAX | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | APC | Apple Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | APC | Apple Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | APC | Apple Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | APC | Apple Inc | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Crocs could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Crocs when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Crocs - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Crocs Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Crocs is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Crocs moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Crocs Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Crocs can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Crocs Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Complementary Tools for Crocs Stock analysis
When running Crocs' price analysis, check to measure Crocs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crocs is operating at the current time. Most of Crocs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crocs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crocs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crocs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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