Bridgewater Bancshares Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

BWB Stock  USD 11.64  0.16  1.39%   
Bridgewater Bancshares' threat of distress is less than 5% at the present time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial hardship in the next 24 months. Chance Of Bankruptcy shows the probability of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Bridgewater balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Bridgewater Bancshares Piotroski F Score and Bridgewater Bancshares Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Bridgewater Stock refer to our How to Trade Bridgewater Stock guide.
  

Bridgewater Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Bridgewater Bancshares' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Net Interest Income109.5M129.7M112.8M86.5M
Tax Provision15.9M18.3M14.1M11.5M

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Bridgewater Bancshares Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 5%  
Most of Bridgewater Bancshares' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Bridgewater Bancshares is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Bridgewater Bancshares probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Bridgewater Bancshares odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Bridgewater Bancshares financial health.
Is Bridgewater Bancshares' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bridgewater Bancshares. If investors know Bridgewater will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bridgewater Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.37)
Earnings Share
1.27
Revenue Per Share
4.015
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
Return On Assets
0.0089
The market value of Bridgewater Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bridgewater that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bridgewater Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bridgewater Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bridgewater Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bridgewater Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bridgewater Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bridgewater Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bridgewater Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bridgewater Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Bridgewater Bancshares is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Bridgewater Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Bridgewater Bancshares' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Bridgewater Bancshares' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Bridgewater Bancshares' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Bridgewater Bancshares has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 89.99% lower than that of the Thrifts & Mortgage Finance sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.

Bridgewater Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Bridgewater Bancshares' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Bridgewater Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bridgewater Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Bridgewater Bancshares is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Bridgewater Bancshares Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.01380.009290.01310.01230.0086640.0127
Asset Turnover0.03440.0320.0330.03130.04940.0285
Net Debt139.6M(21.3M)(10.6M)101.4M285.9M300.2M
Total Current Liabilities2.0M1.6M1.4M2.8M2.0B2.1B
Non Current Liabilities Total174.2M142.2M134.7M2.8M2.2B2.3B
Total Assets2.3B2.9B3.5B4.3B4.6B3.1B
Total Current Assets331.2M563.3M593.9M108.1M145.3M138.0M
Total Cash From Operating Activities39.5M23.0M54.2M85.0M30.0M41.4M

Bridgewater Fundamentals

About Bridgewater Bancshares Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Bridgewater Bancshares's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Bridgewater Bancshares using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bridgewater Bancshares based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Bridgewater Bank that provides banking products and services to commercial real estate investors, small business entrepreneurs, and high net worth individuals in the United States. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Saint Louis Park, Minnesota. Bridgewater Bancshares operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 246 people.

Pair Trading with Bridgewater Bancshares

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bridgewater Bancshares position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bridgewater Bancshares will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Bridgewater Stock

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Moving against Bridgewater Stock

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  0.75MFBP MF BancorpPairCorr
  0.66RF-PC Regions FinancialPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bridgewater Bancshares could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bridgewater Bancshares when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bridgewater Bancshares - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bridgewater Bancshares to buy it.
The correlation of Bridgewater Bancshares is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bridgewater Bancshares moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bridgewater Bancshares moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bridgewater Bancshares can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Bridgewater Bancshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bridgewater Bancshares' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bridgewater Bancshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bridgewater Bancshares Stock:
Check out Bridgewater Bancshares Piotroski F Score and Bridgewater Bancshares Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Bridgewater Stock refer to our How to Trade Bridgewater Stock guide.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

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When running Bridgewater Bancshares' price analysis, check to measure Bridgewater Bancshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bridgewater Bancshares is operating at the current time. Most of Bridgewater Bancshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bridgewater Bancshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bridgewater Bancshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bridgewater Bancshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bridgewater Bancshares' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bridgewater Bancshares. If investors know Bridgewater will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bridgewater Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.37)
Earnings Share
1.27
Revenue Per Share
4.015
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
Return On Assets
0.0089
The market value of Bridgewater Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bridgewater that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bridgewater Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bridgewater Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bridgewater Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bridgewater Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bridgewater Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bridgewater Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bridgewater Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.