Anglogold Ashanti Plc Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

AU Stock  USD 21.99  0.60  2.81%   
AngloGold Ashanti's risk of distress is under 15% at this time. It has tiny likelihood of undergoing some form of financial trouble in the near future. Bankruptcy prediction helps decision makers evaluate AngloGold Ashanti's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the AngloGold balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out AngloGold Ashanti Piotroski F Score and AngloGold Ashanti Altman Z Score analysis.
  

AngloGold Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

AngloGold Ashanti's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Capital Expenditures1.0B1.2B1.2B
Dividends Paid240M182.7M117.0M

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current AngloGold Ashanti Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 15%  
Most of AngloGold Ashanti's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, AngloGold Ashanti Plc is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of AngloGold Ashanti probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting AngloGold Ashanti odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of AngloGold Ashanti Plc financial health.
Is AngloGold Ashanti's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AngloGold Ashanti. If investors know AngloGold will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AngloGold Ashanti listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.62)
Earnings Share
0.1
Revenue Per Share
10.881
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.021
Return On Assets
0.0215
The market value of AngloGold Ashanti Plc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AngloGold that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AngloGold Ashanti's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AngloGold Ashanti's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AngloGold Ashanti's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AngloGold Ashanti's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AngloGold Ashanti's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AngloGold Ashanti is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AngloGold Ashanti's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AngloGold Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for AngloGold Ashanti is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of AngloGold Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since AngloGold Ashanti's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of AngloGold Ashanti's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of AngloGold Ashanti's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, AngloGold Ashanti Plc has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 15.0%. This is 66.17% lower than that of the Metals & Mining sector and 68.01% lower than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 62.34% higher than that of the company.

AngloGold Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses AngloGold Ashanti's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of AngloGold Ashanti could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AngloGold Ashanti by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
AngloGold Ashanti is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

AngloGold Fundamentals

About AngloGold Ashanti Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze AngloGold Ashanti Plc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of AngloGold Ashanti using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of AngloGold Ashanti Plc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
AngloGold Ashanti Limited operates as a gold mining company in Africa, the Americas, and Australia. AngloGold Ashanti Limited was incorporated in 1944 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa. Anglogold Ashanti operates under Gold classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange.

Pair Trading with AngloGold Ashanti

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AngloGold Ashanti position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AngloGold Ashanti will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against AngloGold Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to AngloGold Ashanti could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AngloGold Ashanti when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AngloGold Ashanti - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AngloGold Ashanti Plc to buy it.
The correlation of AngloGold Ashanti is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AngloGold Ashanti moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AngloGold Ashanti Plc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AngloGold Ashanti can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether AngloGold Ashanti Plc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if AngloGold Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Anglogold Ashanti Plc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Anglogold Ashanti Plc Stock:
Check out AngloGold Ashanti Piotroski F Score and AngloGold Ashanti Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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When running AngloGold Ashanti's price analysis, check to measure AngloGold Ashanti's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AngloGold Ashanti is operating at the current time. Most of AngloGold Ashanti's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AngloGold Ashanti's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AngloGold Ashanti's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AngloGold Ashanti to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AngloGold Ashanti's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AngloGold Ashanti. If investors know AngloGold will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AngloGold Ashanti listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.62)
Earnings Share
0.1
Revenue Per Share
10.881
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.021
Return On Assets
0.0215
The market value of AngloGold Ashanti Plc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AngloGold that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AngloGold Ashanti's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AngloGold Ashanti's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AngloGold Ashanti's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AngloGold Ashanti's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AngloGold Ashanti's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AngloGold Ashanti is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AngloGold Ashanti's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.