Amana Developing World Fund Chance Of Distress
| AMDWX Fund | USD 12.52 0.11 0.87% |
Amana |
Amana Developing World Mutual Fund chance of distress Analysis
Amana Developing's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Amana Developing Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 9% |
Most of Amana Developing's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Amana Developing World is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Amana Developing probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Amana Developing odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Amana Developing World financial health.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Amana Developing World has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 9.0%. This is much higher than that of the Amana family and significantly higher than that of the Diversified Emerging Mkts category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.
Amana Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Amana Developing's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the mutual funds which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Amana Developing could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amana Developing by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Amana Developing is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy among similar funds.
Amana Fundamentals
| Price To Earning | 21.93 X | |||
| Price To Book | 3.55 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 2.31 X | |||
| Total Asset | 30.41 M | |||
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | |||
| Year To Date Return | 0.96 % | |||
| One Year Return | 6.67 % | |||
| Three Year Return | (1.14) % | |||
| Five Year Return | 5.84 % | |||
| Ten Year Return | (0.24) % | |||
| Net Asset | 90.45 M | |||
| Cash Position Weight | 21.98 % | |||
| Equity Positions Weight | 78.02 % |
About Amana Developing Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Amana Developing World's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Amana Developing using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Amana Developing World based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with Amana Developing
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Amana Developing position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Amana Developing will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Amana Mutual Fund
| 0.94 | AMIGX | Amana Growth | PairCorr |
| 1.0 | AMIDX | Amana Developing World | PairCorr |
| 0.98 | AMINX | Amana Me Fund | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | AMIPX | Amana Participation | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Amana Developing could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Amana Developing when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Amana Developing - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Amana Developing World to buy it.
The correlation of Amana Developing is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Amana Developing moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Amana Developing World moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Amana Developing can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Amana Developing World. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.