Cohen Steers Infrastructure Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 27.26
| XUTFX Fund | USD 22.00 0.22 1.01% |
Cohen |
Cohen Steers Target Price Odds to finish below 27.26
The tendency of Cohen Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 27.26 after 90 days |
| 22.00 | 90 days | 27.26 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cohen Steers to stay under $ 27.26 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Cohen Steers Infrastructure probability density function shows the probability of Cohen Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cohen Steers Infrast price to stay between its current price of $ 22.00 and $ 27.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.37 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cohen Steers has a beta of 0.94. This entails Cohen Steers Infrastructure market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Cohen Steers is expected to follow. Additionally Cohen Steers Infrastructure has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Cohen Steers Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cohen Steers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cohen Steers Infrast. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cohen Steers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cohen Steers Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cohen Steers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cohen Steers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cohen Steers Infrastructure, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cohen Steers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Cohen Steers Technical Analysis
Cohen Steers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cohen Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cohen Steers Infrastructure. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cohen Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cohen Steers Predictive Forecast Models
Cohen Steers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cohen Steers' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cohen Steers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Cohen Steers in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Cohen Steers' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Cohen Steers options trading.
Check out Cohen Steers Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Cohen Steers Correlation, Cohen Steers Hype Analysis, Cohen Steers Volatility, Cohen Steers History as well as Cohen Steers Performance. For more information on how to buy Cohen Mutual Fund please use our How to Invest in Cohen Steers guide.Note that the Cohen Steers Infrast information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cohen Steers' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cohen Steers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cohen Steers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cohen Steers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.