W P Carey Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 92.04

WPC Stock  USD 55.97  0.36  0.65%   
W P's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on W P Carey. Implied volatility approximates the future value of W P based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in W P Carey over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $55.0 is a CALL option contract on W P's common stock with a strick price of 55.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:03:07 for $1.4 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.6, and an ask price of $1.75. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 21.0. View All WPC options

Closest to current price WPC long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

W P's future price is the expected price of W P instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of W P Carey performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out W P Backtesting, W P Valuation, W P Correlation, W P Hype Analysis, W P Volatility, W P History as well as W P Performance.
  
At present, W P's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Book Ratio is expected to grow to 1.68, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 15.57. Please specify W P's target price for which you would like W P odds to be computed.

W P Target Price Odds to finish over 92.04

The tendency of WPC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 92.04  or more in 90 days
 55.97 90 days 92.04 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of W P to move over $ 92.04  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This W P Carey probability density function shows the probability of WPC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of W P Carey price to stay between its current price of $ 55.97  and $ 92.04  at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.86 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon W P has a beta of 0.96. This entails W P Carey market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, W P is expected to follow. Additionally W P Carey has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   W P Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for W P

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as W P Carey. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of W P's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.2955.7357.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.3765.6967.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
53.0754.5155.95
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
66.3572.9180.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as W P. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against W P's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, W P's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in W P Carey.

W P Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. W P is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the W P's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold W P Carey, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of W P within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.33
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.96
σ
Overall volatility
4.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

W P Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of W P for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for W P Carey can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
W P Carey generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Should WisdomTree U.S. MidCap Dividend ETF Be on Your Investing Radar

W P Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WPC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential W P's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. W P's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding215.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments633.9 M

W P Technical Analysis

W P's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WPC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of W P Carey. In general, you should focus on analyzing WPC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

W P Predictive Forecast Models

W P's time-series forecasting models is one of many W P's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary W P's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about W P Carey

Checking the ongoing alerts about W P for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for W P Carey help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
W P Carey generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Should WisdomTree U.S. MidCap Dividend ETF Be on Your Investing Radar
When determining whether W P Carey offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of W P's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of W P Carey Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on W P Carey Stock:
Check out W P Backtesting, W P Valuation, W P Correlation, W P Hype Analysis, W P Volatility, W P History as well as W P Performance.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for WPC Stock analysis

When running W P's price analysis, check to measure W P's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy W P is operating at the current time. Most of W P's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of W P's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move W P's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of W P to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is W P's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of W P. If investors know WPC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about W P listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.34)
Dividend Share
4.067
Earnings Share
3.28
Revenue Per Share
8.066
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.036
The market value of W P Carey is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of WPC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of W P's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is W P's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because W P's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect W P's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between W P's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if W P is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, W P's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.