Walmart Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 83.7

WMT Stock  USD 60.72  0.21  0.35%   
Walmart's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Walmart. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Walmart based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Walmart over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $60.0 is a CALL option contract on Walmart's common stock with a strick price of 60.0 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:59:24 for $0.69 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.7, and an ask price of $0.8. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 17.47. View All Walmart options

Closest to current price Walmart long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Walmart's future price is the expected price of Walmart instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Walmart performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Walmart Backtesting, Walmart Valuation, Walmart Correlation, Walmart Hype Analysis, Walmart Volatility, Walmart History as well as Walmart Performance.
For more information on how to buy Walmart Stock please use our How to Invest in Walmart guide.
  
At this time, Walmart's Price To Sales Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Book Value Ratio is likely to gain to 5.57 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 27.45 in 2024. Please specify Walmart's target price for which you would like Walmart odds to be computed.

Walmart Target Price Odds to finish over 83.7

The tendency of Walmart Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 83.70  or more in 90 days
 60.72 90 days 83.70 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Walmart to move over $ 83.70  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Walmart probability density function shows the probability of Walmart Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Walmart price to stay between its current price of $ 60.72  and $ 83.70  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.54 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Walmart has a beta of 0.34. This entails as returns on the market go up, Walmart average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Walmart will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Walmart has an alpha of 0.2032, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Walmart Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Walmart

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Walmart. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Walmart's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.9160.7661.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.6589.9190.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
59.2760.1260.97
Details
41 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
153.69168.89187.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Walmart. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Walmart's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Walmart's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Walmart.

Walmart Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Walmart is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Walmart's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Walmart, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Walmart within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.20
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.34
σ
Overall volatility
3.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Walmart Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Walmart for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Walmart can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 60.44 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.81, which is OK given its current industry classification. Walmart has a current ratio of 0.85, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Walmart until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Walmart's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Walmart sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Walmart to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Walmart's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 47.0% of Walmart outstanding shares are owned by insiders
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Walmart Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Walmart Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Walmart's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Walmart's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments9.9 B

Walmart Technical Analysis

Walmart's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Walmart Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Walmart. In general, you should focus on analyzing Walmart Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Walmart Predictive Forecast Models

Walmart's time-series forecasting models is one of many Walmart's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Walmart's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Walmart

Checking the ongoing alerts about Walmart for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Walmart help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 60.44 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.81, which is OK given its current industry classification. Walmart has a current ratio of 0.85, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Walmart until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Walmart's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Walmart sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Walmart to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Walmart's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 47.0% of Walmart outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from investorplace.com: Ready to Rock 3 Entertainment Stocks to Buy for the 2024 Concert Season
When determining whether Walmart is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Walmart Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Walmart Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Walmart Stock:

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When running Walmart's price analysis, check to measure Walmart's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Walmart is operating at the current time. Most of Walmart's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Walmart's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Walmart's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Walmart to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Walmart's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Walmart. If investors know Walmart will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Walmart listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
Dividend Share
0.76
Earnings Share
1.91
Revenue Per Share
80.243
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.057
The market value of Walmart is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Walmart that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Walmart's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Walmart's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Walmart's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Walmart's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walmart's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Walmart is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walmart's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.