Wilshire 5000 Index Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 28.59
| WFIVX Fund | USD 28.59 0.06 0.21% |
Wilshire |
Wilshire 5000 Target Price Odds to finish over 28.59
The tendency of Wilshire Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 28.59 | 90 days | 28.59 | about 64.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wilshire 5000 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 64.62 (This Wilshire 5000 Index probability density function shows the probability of Wilshire Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This entails Wilshire 5000 Index market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Wilshire 5000 is expected to follow. Additionally Wilshire 5000 Index has an alpha of 0.0142, implying that it can generate a 0.0142 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Wilshire 5000 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wilshire 5000
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilshire 5000 Index. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wilshire 5000's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Wilshire 5000 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wilshire 5000 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wilshire 5000's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wilshire 5000 Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wilshire 5000 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Wilshire 5000 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wilshire 5000 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wilshire 5000 Index can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: These Banks Almost Failed the Stress Tests - AOL | |
| The fund keeps 98.3% of its net assets in stocks |
Wilshire 5000 Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wilshire Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wilshire 5000's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wilshire 5000's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Wilshire 5000 Technical Analysis
Wilshire 5000's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wilshire Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wilshire 5000 Index. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wilshire Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wilshire 5000 Predictive Forecast Models
Wilshire 5000's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wilshire 5000's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wilshire 5000's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wilshire 5000 Index
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wilshire 5000 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wilshire 5000 Index help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: These Banks Almost Failed the Stress Tests - AOL | |
| The fund keeps 98.3% of its net assets in stocks |
Check out Wilshire 5000 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Wilshire 5000 Correlation, Wilshire 5000 Hype Analysis, Wilshire 5000 Volatility, Wilshire 5000 History as well as Wilshire 5000 Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.