|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move over $ 0.71 or more in 30 days|
| 0.71 ||30 days|| 0.71 || ABOUT 29.45%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of ETFS Wheat to move over $ 0.71 or more in 30 days from now is about 29.45% (This ETFS Wheat ETC probability density function shows the probability of ETFS Wheat ETF to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of ETFS Commodity Secur price to stay between its current price of $ 0.71 and $ 0.71 at the end of the 30-day period is about 6.32%.
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, ETFS Wheat ETC has beta of -0.5322 . This means as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding ETFS Wheat are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, ETFS Wheat ETC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ETFS Wheat ETC has an alpha of 0.4531 implying that it can potentially generate 0.4531% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
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