Walgreens Boots Alliance Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 51.86
| WBA Stock | USD 17.59 0.04 0.23% |
Closest to current price Walgreens long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Walgreens |
Walgreens Boots Target Price Odds to finish over 51.86
The tendency of Walgreens Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 51.86 or more in 90 days |
| 17.59 | 90 days | 51.86 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Walgreens Boots to move over $ 51.86 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Walgreens Boots Alliance probability density function shows the probability of Walgreens Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Walgreens Boots Alliance price to stay between its current price of $ 17.59 and $ 51.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.85 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Walgreens Boots will likely underperform. Additionally Walgreens Boots Alliance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Walgreens Boots Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Walgreens Boots
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Walgreens Boots Alliance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Walgreens Boots' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Walgreens Boots Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Walgreens Boots is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Walgreens Boots' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Walgreens Boots Alliance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Walgreens Boots within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.47 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Walgreens Boots Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Walgreens Boots for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Walgreens Boots Alliance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Walgreens Boots generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 33.53 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.2, which is OK given its current industry classification. Walgreens Boots Alliance has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Walgreens Boots until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Walgreens Boots' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Walgreens Boots Alliance sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Walgreens to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Walgreens Boots' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 139.08 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.53 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 27.07 B. | |
| About 62.0% of Walgreens Boots outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 12th of March 2024 Walgreens Boots paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from patch.com: Walgreens Pharmacists Plan Protest In Romeoville Union |
Walgreens Boots Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Walgreens Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Walgreens Boots' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Walgreens Boots' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 863.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 739 M |
Walgreens Boots Technical Analysis
Walgreens Boots' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Walgreens Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Walgreens Boots Alliance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Walgreens Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Walgreens Boots Predictive Forecast Models
Walgreens Boots' time-series forecasting models is one of many Walgreens Boots' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Walgreens Boots' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Walgreens Boots Alliance
Checking the ongoing alerts about Walgreens Boots for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Walgreens Boots Alliance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Walgreens Boots generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 33.53 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.2, which is OK given its current industry classification. Walgreens Boots Alliance has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Walgreens Boots until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Walgreens Boots' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Walgreens Boots Alliance sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Walgreens to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Walgreens Boots' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 139.08 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.53 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 27.07 B. | |
| About 62.0% of Walgreens Boots outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 12th of March 2024 Walgreens Boots paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from patch.com: Walgreens Pharmacists Plan Protest In Romeoville Union |
Check out Walgreens Boots Backtesting, Walgreens Boots Valuation, Walgreens Boots Correlation, Walgreens Boots Hype Analysis, Walgreens Boots Volatility, Walgreens Boots History as well as Walgreens Boots Performance. Note that the Walgreens Boots Alliance information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Walgreens Boots' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Complementary Tools for Walgreens Stock analysis
When running Walgreens Boots' price analysis, check to measure Walgreens Boots' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Walgreens Boots is operating at the current time. Most of Walgreens Boots' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Walgreens Boots' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Walgreens Boots' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Walgreens Boots to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Walgreens Boots' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Walgreens Boots. If investors know Walgreens will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Walgreens Boots listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | Dividend Share 1.69 | Earnings Share (7.00) | Revenue Per Share 167.542 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
The market value of Walgreens Boots Alliance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Walgreens that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Walgreens Boots' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Walgreens Boots' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Walgreens Boots' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Walgreens Boots' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walgreens Boots' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Walgreens Boots is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walgreens Boots' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.