SEVEN WEST (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.24

WA7 Stock  EUR 0.11  0.01  8.33%   
SEVEN WEST's future price is the expected price of SEVEN WEST instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SEVEN WEST MEDI performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SEVEN WEST Backtesting, SEVEN WEST Valuation, SEVEN WEST Correlation, SEVEN WEST Hype Analysis, SEVEN WEST Volatility, SEVEN WEST History as well as SEVEN WEST Performance.
  
Please specify SEVEN WEST's target price for which you would like SEVEN WEST odds to be computed.

SEVEN WEST Target Price Odds to finish below 0.24

The tendency of SEVEN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 0.24  after 90 days
 0.11 90 days 0.24 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SEVEN WEST to stay under € 0.24  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This SEVEN WEST MEDI probability density function shows the probability of SEVEN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SEVEN WEST MEDI price to stay between its current price of € 0.11  and € 0.24  at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SEVEN WEST has a beta of 0.65. This entails as returns on the market go up, SEVEN WEST average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SEVEN WEST MEDI will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SEVEN WEST MEDI has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   SEVEN WEST Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SEVEN WEST

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SEVEN WEST MEDI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SEVEN WEST's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.113.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.103.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.103.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.110.110.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SEVEN WEST. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SEVEN WEST's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SEVEN WEST's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SEVEN WEST MEDI.

SEVEN WEST Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SEVEN WEST is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SEVEN WEST's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SEVEN WEST MEDI, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SEVEN WEST within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.69
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.65
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

SEVEN WEST Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SEVEN WEST for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SEVEN WEST MEDI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SEVEN WEST MEDI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SEVEN WEST MEDI has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
SEVEN WEST MEDI has high historical volatility and very poor performance

SEVEN WEST Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SEVEN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SEVEN WEST's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SEVEN WEST's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.6 B

SEVEN WEST Technical Analysis

SEVEN WEST's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SEVEN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SEVEN WEST MEDI. In general, you should focus on analyzing SEVEN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SEVEN WEST Predictive Forecast Models

SEVEN WEST's time-series forecasting models is one of many SEVEN WEST's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SEVEN WEST's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SEVEN WEST MEDI

Checking the ongoing alerts about SEVEN WEST for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SEVEN WEST MEDI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SEVEN WEST MEDI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SEVEN WEST MEDI has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
SEVEN WEST MEDI has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Check out SEVEN WEST Backtesting, SEVEN WEST Valuation, SEVEN WEST Correlation, SEVEN WEST Hype Analysis, SEVEN WEST Volatility, SEVEN WEST History as well as SEVEN WEST Performance.
Note that the SEVEN WEST MEDI information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other SEVEN WEST's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for SEVEN Stock analysis

When running SEVEN WEST's price analysis, check to measure SEVEN WEST's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SEVEN WEST is operating at the current time. Most of SEVEN WEST's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SEVEN WEST's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SEVEN WEST's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SEVEN WEST to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between SEVEN WEST's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SEVEN WEST is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SEVEN WEST's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.